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Steve Hou, industry influencer, highlights a recent note from BNY and the Federal Reserve discussing the 'trilemma' currently facing the Fed and incoming Fed Chair Warsh. According to Hou, Warsh has consistently called for a significant decrease in the Fed’s balance sheet.
Hou adds that if the Fed opts for a much smaller balance sheet and more limited market interventions, it will need to accept higher levels of market volatility.
Hou has previously noted a shift in market attention from revenue guidance to capital expenditure signals for both macro and AI industry trends, as seen in his recent analysis. In a separate post, tweetAuthor described how distinct business sectors lead to varying profit margins but similar revenue per employee metrics at listed firms. These observations provide context for Hou’s ongoing commentary on Fed policy and market conditions.