28.03.2024
SimpleFx shares trading strategy for upcoming Bitcoin halving
28.03.2024
Stelian Olar
Contributor

​Broker SimpleFx has informed its clients about the specifics of trading during the upcoming halving. 

The Bitcoin halving is an important moment for the cryptocurrency. It will affect the volatility of the asset and supply and demand dynamics, provoking increased risks but also creating new opportunities. 

Since a reduction in reward will lead to a slowdown in the mining of new Bitcoins, a reduction in supply with an ever-increasing demand will cause strong price changes. Therefore, traders and investors are analyzing halving trading opportunities and trading strategies based on historical data. 

SimpleFx reminds traders that understanding the dynamics of Bitcoin is crucial for those seeking to successfully navigate the markets during a halving period. 

Historical data shows that past halving events have often caused an increase in volatility, with large price swings both before and after the event. By analyzing historical price movements, traders can assess the potential for market reactions in order to adjust their strategies while mitigating potential risks. 

As the speculative nature of halving causes dramatic changes in market dynamics and directly affects trading strategies, it is important for traders to consider broader trends in the cryptocurrency market and adjust their investment plans accordingly. 

Analysts note that the behavior of BTC six months prior to the halving event and six months after the event shows a certain pattern. 

1. Pre-halving period. Starting from the second halving, the growth of the cryptocurrency before the event itself reaches 2-3 times. Currently, the price has also increased almost twice, but this could be additionally influenced by the influx of institutional investors after the launch of spot BTC ETFs. 

2. After a halving, there is usually a moment of Bitcoin re-accumulation. This period is very short: 2 months after the first halving and about 1.5 quarters after the second and third halvings. The end of the re-accumulation period is replaced by a rapid adjustment of the BTC price to new supply and demand parameters. 

However, SimpleFx emphasizes that historical events do not necessarily guarantee the same situation during a new halving, as the macroeconomic situation differs in many ways. 

The increase in volatility during the Bitcoin halving requires increased attention to risk management and diversification of their investments, so it is important for traders to make adjustments to their portfolios in advance, set stop losses, and distribute assets among different classes. 

Read also: Big crypto investors are actively buying BTC