特鲁多辞职支撑加元，美元/加元价格下滑
特鲁多辞职提振加元，美元/加元跌至 1.4310
周二欧洲早盘，美元/加元货币对走低至1.4310，原因是有报道证实加拿大总理贾斯汀-特鲁多（Justin Trudeau）将下台。这一消息使加元（CAD）走强，在对美国进口商品征收报复性关税的预期下，加元因政治明朗而受益。
随着市场消化特鲁多辞职的影响和潜在的美加贸易争端，货币走势可能会继续波动。分析师建议关注即将上任的美国政府的关税立场和加拿大央行的下一步行动，这是影响美元/加元货币对未来几周走势的关键因素。
美元/加元价格动态（2024 年 11 月 - 2025 年 1 月）来源：TradingView：资料来源：TradingView。
特鲁多辞职和关税担忧
贾斯汀-特鲁多（Justin Trudeau）辞职之际，有报道称加拿大官员正在考虑提前公布一份美国商品清单，如果唐纳德-特朗普（Donald Trump）领导的新一届美国政府对加拿大进口商品征收 25% 的关税，这些商品可能面临报复性关税。这一先发制人的举措凸显了人们对贸易关系及其对加拿大经济影响的担忧。
Monex Europe Ltd.的高级外汇市场分析师尼克-里斯（Nick Rees）表示，特鲁多辞职的决定增强了市场对卢比的情绪。这一消息给美元兑加元货币对带来了短期波动，因为投资者正在关注美国激进的关税政策对经济的潜在影响。
美联储前景缓和了美元兑加元的跌势
尽管加元上涨，但美元的跌幅仍然受到美联储政策立场预期的限制。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，市场显示美联储在 1 月份会议上降息 25 个基点的可能性仅为 7.5%，这为美元提供了支撑。投资者正在密切关注美国货币政策将如何演变，尤其是在地缘政治和贸易紧张局势持续的背景下。
在之前的报道中，我们强调了USD/CAD price slips as Trudeau resignation supports Canadian dollar The USD/CAD currency pair edged lower to 1.4310 during early European trading on Tuesday, as reports confirmed that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would step down. This announcement strengthened the Canadian dollar (CAD), which benefited from political clarity amid anticipation of retaliatory tariffs against U.S. imports. As markets digest the implications of Trudeau’s resignation and potential U.S.-Canada trade disputes, currency movements may remain volatile. Analysts suggest monitoring both the incoming U.S. administration’s stance on tariffs and the Bank of Canada’s next moves as crucial factors influencing the USD/CAD pair’s trajectory in the coming weeks. USD/CAD price dynamics (Nov 2024 - Jan 2025) Source: TradingView. Trudeau’s resignation and tariff concerns Justin Trudeau’s resignation comes amid reports that Canadian officials are considering an early release of a list of American goods that may face retaliatory tariffs should the incoming U.S. administration, led by Donald Trump, impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports. This preemptive move underscores concerns over trade relations and their impact on Canada’s economy. Nick Rees, senior FX market analyst at Monex Europe Ltd., stated that Trudeau’s decision to resign has bolstered market sentiment for the loonie. The news has introduced short-term volatility in the USD/CAD pair as investors monitor the potential economic repercussions of aggressive U.S. tariff policies. Fed outlook tempers Greenback’s slide Despite the loonie’s gains, the U.S. dollar's losses remain limited by expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's policy stance. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets indicate only a 7.5% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Fed’s January meeting, which supports the U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching how U.S. monetary policy will evolve, particularly against the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions. In previous coverage, we highlighted the impact of U.S. monetary policy and Canadian political developments on forex pairs, reinforcing how such factors continue to shape USD/CAD dynamics. 美国货币政策和加拿大政治发展对外汇货币对的 影响，强化了这些因素如何继续影响美元/加元的动态。
