O preço do USD/CAD desce com a demissão de Trudeau a apoiar o dólar canadiano

O par de moedas USD/CAD desceu para 1,4310 durante o início do pregão europeu de terça-feira, com os relatórios a confirmarem que o Primeiro-Ministro canadiano, Justin Trudeau, irá abandonar o cargo. Este anúncio fortaleceu o dólar canadiano (CAD), que beneficiou da clareza política em antecipação das tarifas de retaliação contra as importações dos E.U.A..

À medida que os mercados digerem as implicações da demissão de Trudeau e as potenciais disputas comerciais entre os E.U.A. e o Canadá, os movimentos cambiais podem permanecer voláteis. Os analistas sugerem a monitorização da posição da nova administração dos E.U.A. sobre as tarifas e os próximos movimentos do Banco do Canadá como factores cruciais que influenciam a trajetória do par USD/CAD nas próximas semanas.

Dinâmica de preços USD/CAD (Nov 2024 - Jan 2025) Fonte: TradingView.

Demissão de Trudeau e preocupações tarifárias

A renúncia de Justin Trudeau ocorre em meio a relatos de que as autoridades canadenses estão considerando o lançamento antecipado de uma lista de produtos americanos que podem enfrentar tarifas retaliatórias caso o novo governo dos EUA, liderado por Donald Trump, imponha uma tarifa de 25% sobre as importações canadenses. Este movimento preventivo sublinha as preocupações sobre as relações comerciais e o seu impacto na economia do Canadá.

Nick Rees, analista sénior do mercado cambial da Monex Europe Ltd, afirmou que a decisão de Trudeau de se demitir reforçou o sentimento do mercado em relação ao loonie. A notícia introduziu volatilidade de curto prazo no par USD / CAD, com os investidores monitorando as potenciais repercussões económicas das políticas tarifárias agressivas dos EUA.

Perspectivas da Fed atenuam a queda do dólar

Apesar dos ganhos do loonie, as perdas do dólar americano permanecem limitadas pelas expectativas em torno da posição política da Reserva Federal. De acordo com a ferramenta CME FedWatch, os mercados indicam apenas uma probabilidade de 7,5% de um corte de 25 pontos base na taxa de juro durante a reunião de janeiro da Reserva Federal, o que apoia o dólar americano. Os investidores estão a observar atentamente a evolução da política monetária dos E.U.A., em particular no contexto das actuais tensões geopolíticas e comerciais.

Na cobertura anterior, destacámos o impacto da USD/CAD price slips as Trudeau resignation supports Canadian dollar The USD/CAD currency pair edged lower to 1.4310 during early European trading on Tuesday, as reports confirmed that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would step down. This announcement strengthened the Canadian dollar (CAD), which benefited from political clarity amid anticipation of retaliatory tariffs against U.S. imports. As markets digest the implications of Trudeau’s resignation and potential U.S.-Canada trade disputes, currency movements may remain volatile. Analysts suggest monitoring both the incoming U.S. administration’s stance on tariffs and the Bank of Canada’s next moves as crucial factors influencing the USD/CAD pair’s trajectory in the coming weeks. USD/CAD price dynamics (Nov 2024 - Jan 2025) Source: TradingView. Trudeau’s resignation and tariff concerns Justin Trudeau’s resignation comes amid reports that Canadian officials are considering an early release of a list of American goods that may face retaliatory tariffs should the incoming U.S. administration, led by Donald Trump, impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports. This preemptive move underscores concerns over trade relations and their impact on Canada’s economy. Nick Rees, senior FX market analyst at Monex Europe Ltd., stated that Trudeau’s decision to resign has bolstered market sentiment for the loonie. The news has introduced short-term volatility in the USD/CAD pair as investors monitor the potential economic repercussions of aggressive U.S. tariff policies. Fed outlook tempers Greenback’s slide Despite the loonie’s gains, the U.S. dollar's losses remain limited by expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's policy stance. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets indicate only a 7.5% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Fed’s January meeting, which supports the U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching how U.S. monetary policy will evolve, particularly against the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions. In previous coverage, we highlighted the impact of U.S. monetary policy and Canadian political developments on forex pairs, reinforcing how such factors continue to shape USD/CAD dynamics.">política monetária dos E.U.A. e dos USD/CAD price slips as Trudeau resignation supports Canadian dollar The USD/CAD currency pair edged lower to 1.4310 during early European trading on Tuesday, as reports confirmed that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would step down. This announcement strengthened the Canadian dollar (CAD), which benefited from political clarity amid anticipation of retaliatory tariffs against U.S. imports. As markets digest the implications of Trudeau’s resignation and potential U.S.-Canada trade disputes, currency movements may remain volatile. Analysts suggest monitoring both the incoming U.S. administration’s stance on tariffs and the Bank of Canada’s next moves as crucial factors influencing the USD/CAD pair’s trajectory in the coming weeks. USD/CAD price dynamics (Nov 2024 - Jan 2025) Source: TradingView. Trudeau’s resignation and tariff concerns Justin Trudeau’s resignation comes amid reports that Canadian officials are considering an early release of a list of American goods that may face retaliatory tariffs should the incoming U.S. administration, led by Donald Trump, impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports. This preemptive move underscores concerns over trade relations and their impact on Canada’s economy. Nick Rees, senior FX market analyst at Monex Europe Ltd., stated that Trudeau’s decision to resign has bolstered market sentiment for the loonie. The news has introduced short-term volatility in the USD/CAD pair as investors monitor the potential economic repercussions of aggressive U.S. tariff policies. Fed outlook tempers Greenback’s slide Despite the loonie’s gains, the U.S. dollar's losses remain limited by expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's policy stance. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets indicate only a 7.5% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Fed’s January meeting, which supports the U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching how U.S. monetary policy will evolve, particularly against the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions. In previous coverage, we highlighted the impact of U.S. monetary policy and Canadian political developments on forex pairs, reinforcing how such factors continue to shape USD/CAD dynamics. desenvolvimentos políticos canadianos nos pares cambiais, reforçando a forma como esses factores continuam a moldar a dinâmica do USD/CAD.