26.02.2025
Sholanke Dele
Analyst at Traders Union
26.02.2025

Bitcoin price erases 21% from January ATH amid spot ETF outflows

Bitcoin price erases 21% from January ATH amid spot ETF outflows BTC struggles below $89.4K amid weak demand

​Bitcoin price is struggling to regain momentum after its recent sharp decline. The alpha cryptocurrency now faces strong resistance levels as ETF outflows signal weak institutional demand. 

Yesterday, Bitcoin dropped 7% to a three-month low of $86,000, extending its weekly loss to 10% and its February decline to 12.3%. The broader selloff has now erased 21% from the all-time high set in January. With Bitcoin currently consolidating below last month’s low of $89,400, price action suggests a challenging recovery ahead.

Institutional flows reflect the ongoing weakness. On February 25, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest daily net outflows, with a combined $937.9 million exiting the market. This marked the sixth consecutive trading day of outflows. The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) saw the biggest single-day redemption at $344.7 million, a record for the ETF. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) followed with $164.4 million in outflows. So far in February, around $2.4 billion has exited Bitcoin ETFs, highlighting waning institutional interest. 

BTC price forecast: RSI enters oversold territory but resistance caps upside

Bitcoin price dynamics (Jan 2025 - Feb 2025). Source: TradingView

In the early European session, Bitcoin is trading around $88,600, showing little sign of immediate upside momentum as it remains under key resistance levels, limiting recovery prospects. The previous month’s low of $89,400 has now turned into near-term resistance, with an even stronger barrier at $91,250, which was the December 2024 low and a previously significant support level. 

Indicators suggest a potential short-term reaction, but strong resistance remains in play. Bitcoin’s RSI on both the daily and 4-hour charts has fallen into oversold territory, which may encourage some buyers to accumulate longs. However, the multiple layers of resistance ahead mean that any recovery attempt faces significant hurdles. A decisive break above $91,250 would be needed to shift sentiment, while failure to reclaim these levels could leave Bitcoin vulnerable to further downside.

Bitcoin broke below the 100-day EMA at $94,000, reinforcing its broader downtrend. Weak market sentiment drove a 5% decline, pushing the price to a six-week low of $91,000.

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