XRP price prediction: Technical indicators cap XRP at $2.26 as SEC delays ETF decision
XRP struggles at $2.26 resistance as rally momentum fades.
XRP price rally since the past three days is at risk of stalling as the price tests the critical $2.26 resistance level.
This level aligns with the 100-day EMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement, making it a decisive point for the next move. While short-term indicators suggest further upside, the broader outlook remains uncertain as traders monitor key regulatory developments.
After rebounding earlier this week, XRP climbed to a four-day high during today’s European session. However, the confluence of resistance at $2.26 has slowed further gains. This level has proven difficult to break, as selling pressure increases whenever price approaches it.
XRP price dynamics (Dec 2024 - March 2025). Source: TradingView.
XRP’s stunted price upside also coincides with ongoing regulatory uncertainty in the U.S. The SEC has delayed decisions on multiple XRP ETF proposals, with the approval process currently in limbo as Paul Atkins awaits confirmation as the new SEC Chair. Industry experts suggest these delays are procedural rather than a shift in stance, with final deadlines for ETF approvals still months away.
XRP short-term RSI turns bullish as daily trend remains weak
Technically, the 4-hour RSI, which had been in bearish territory earlier in the week, has now shifted into bullish territory, indicating growing upside momentum. However, the daily RSI remains bearish, highlighting the contrast between short-term optimism and a still-weak longer-term trend.
A breakout above 2.26 could pave the way for further gains toward 2.32, while failure to clear this level may trigger a retracement toward $2.2. With technicals giving mixed signals and regulatory developments still unfolding, traders may remain restrained as they await the next major catalyst.
Institutional interest in XRP increased after Franklin Templeton filed for an XRP ETF. XRP rebounded 15% from $1.9077 to $2.216, but momentum stalled at $2.250.
