02.04.2025
Jainam Mehta
Contributor
02.04.2025

XRP price falls below key support as bearish momentum intensifies

XRP price falls below key support as bearish momentum intensifies XRP breaks key ascending trendline as bearish structure intensifies below $2.10

XRP has come under renewed selling pressure, breaking below a major ascending trendline on the 4-hour chart, signaling a shift in momentum toward the downside. The token is currently trading near $2.07, testing support at the lower Bollinger Band around $2.05. 

This move follows multiple rejections from the $2.20–$2.30 region, which has now turned into a strong supply zone, reinforced by a bearish EMA cluster that includes the 20, 50, 100, and 200-period EMAs sloping downward.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, the Ichimoku Cloud setup remains structurally weak. Price action is below the cloud, with both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines offering immediate resistance at $2.13 and $2.12, respectively. The Lagging Span, or Chikou Span, continues to trail below both price and cloud levels, confirming a bearish alignment across the Ichimoku framework. Volume has also declined in recent sessions, weakening the potential for a reversal without a major catalyst.

XRP price analysis (March 2025 - April 2025) Source: TradingView.

Critical support at $1.97 could determine the next move

From a daily perspective, the horizontal zone between $1.97 and $2.00 serves as the final line of defense for bulls. This level has historically sparked strong rebounds, but repeated tests suggest structural fragility. A close below $1.97 could trigger a deeper decline toward $1.80, with $1.60 as a further downside target if market sentiment worsens.

Conversely, for any recovery attempt to gain traction, bulls would need to reclaim $2.30 and break above the $2.56–$2.60 region. These levels are not only psychological milestones but also coincide with heavy historical resistance and previous rally tops. However, without volume expansion and a MACD bullish crossover supported by strong RSI divergence, a sustainable reversal remains unlikely.

Broader structure favors downside unless key levels are reclaimed

The presence of a descending triangle on the daily chart reinforces the bearish bias. Unless invalidated by a breakout above the upper trendline, this pattern suggests a continuation lower. For now, XRP remains trapped in a weakening structure, with limited upside catalysts and rising pressure near crucial support.

In previous analysis, we highlighted XRP's vulnerability near $2.05 and warned of downside risk if the asset failed to reclaim the $2.30 zone. The current breakdown aligns with that forecast, with volume, EMA structure, and Ichimoku signals reinforcing the prevailing bearish trend.

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