28.05.2025
Sholanke Dele
Analyst at Traders Union
28.05.2025

Bitcoin price coiled structure builds tension after Doji candlestick signals indecision

Bitcoin price coiled structure builds tension after Doji candlestick signals indecision Bitcoin stalls near $109K as traders await breakout from tight range

​Bitcoin price continues to trade near $109,000 on Wednesday, showing little directional movement during the Asian and European sessions. 

Price has also been stuck in a narrowband between $106,800 and the supply zone below $112,000 for the past four trading days. This consolidation reflects a lack of clear momentum as traders await a breakout move from the tight range.

Highlights

-Bitcoin stuck in tight range between $106,800 and $112,000 for four days-Tuesday's failed breakout adds to short-term exhaustion risks-4hr RSI slips below neutral level while daily RSI holds near 65

Although Tuesday's price action offered a short-lived sign of strength after bitcoin briefly broke above Monday’s high of $110,460, however, the rally lost steam quickly, and price reversed to close near $109,000. The failed bullish continuation has added weight to the argument for short-term exhaustion.

BTC price dynamics (April - May 2025). Source: TradingView

Technically, the 4HR chart reveals bitcoin formation of two consecutive higher highs since the retreat from its all-time high of $112,000. This structure still leans slightly to the upside, but momentum has not followed through. The Doji candlestick formed on Tuesday points to indecision, often a precursor to major directional shifts, especially when seen during periods of low volatility. This aligns with the broader view that bitcoin is in a coiled setup, awaiting a directional push.

Bitcoin open interest softens as leveraged traders reduce exposure

From an indicator perspective, the 4-hour RSI has now dipped below 50, showing a soft bearish tilt in the near term, even though the daily RSI still holds firm around 65. This divergence between timeframes suggests the possibility of a short drawdown before price attempts to resume its upward trajectory.

The 50-exponential moving average on the 4-hour chart, currently near $108,200, is now a key level to watch. A clear move below it could drive price lower toward Tuesday’s low at $107,600. Further weakness may put pressure on the consolidation floor at $106,800.

On the positioning front, funding rates have cooled to near-neutral levels and perpetual futures open interest has declined. This reflects a pullback in aggressive leveraged positioning, especially from retail traders, who typically front-run breakout moves.

In summary, bitcoin’s short-term direction hinges on how it resolves this tight range. A break above the $110,460 zone would confirm bullish continuation, while a slide below $106,800 could open up more room for downside exploration. Until then, the market remains in a holding pattern, weighed by indecision and subdued momentum.

Bitcoin faced strong resistance at $110,300 after pulling back from its all-time high. Long-term accumulation during the dip supported a bullish continuation setup.

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