20.12.2024
Oleg Tkachenko
Author and expert at Traders Union
20.12.2024

XLM price analysis: Bearish trend persists

XLM price analysis: Bearish trend persists XLM price consolidates below $0.4019, reflecting bearish sentiment

​Stellar Lumens (XLM) is trading at $0.3728, within a daily range of $0.3626 to $0.3822, with a volume of 20.01M. The asset remains bearish in the short term, trading below critical resistance levels defined by exponential moving averages (EMAs). 

Immediate resistance is noted at $0.4019 (20 EMA), while key support is at $0.3544. Analysts highlight that a breakout above $0.4019 could trigger a move toward $0.4276 (50 EMA) and beyond.

XLM price dynamics (Nov 2024 - Dec 2024) Source: TradingView

Technical analysis highlights

XLM’s price is consolidating below a descending trendline, reflecting bearish sentiment. The 20 EMA acts as a short-term barrier, while the 200 EMA at $0.3933 serves as critical structural support. A failure to hold this level could signal increased downside pressure, potentially targeting $0.3544.

Volume analysis indicates increased activity near the support zone of $0.3544, suggesting potential accumulation by buyers. However, bearish momentum persists, with immediate resistance at $0.4019 and stronger resistance at $0.4715.

Historical trends and analyst predictions

According to EGRAG CRYPTO, XLM is following a historical pattern last seen in 2020 and 2023, where the asset surged 3,100% after breaking above its EMA on a two-week price chart. The analyst predicts a potential 360% uptick for XLM, targeting $2.27 in the long term.

In the near term, EGRAG CRYPTO projects resistance at $0.90 and $1, with a likely retracement before XLM attempts to breach $2. These optimistic predictions come with caution, as the analyst emphasizes resistance and corrections along the way. XLM has already experienced a 44% correction, with the possibility of one more pullback before a significant upward push.

While XLM faces bearish pressure in the short term, its long-term outlook remains positive. A breakout above key resistance levels could reignite bullish momentum, potentially leading to substantial price gains. 

In earlier updates, we covered Stellar’s “Build Better” initiative aimed at driving Web3 innovation and fostering equitable access. This program underscores Stellar's commitment to advancing decentralized solutions, which may positively impact the token's adoption and utility in the long run.

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