Microsoft stock bulls eye $456 nine-month high after bullish pin bar breakout

Microsoft Corp shares extended their strong performance into the new week, opening Monday’s session at $445.80 comfortably above the prior week’s consolidation.
The move confirmed a technical breakout, and price action later retested the old resistance level as support during regular North American hours. That successful retest acted as a launchpad, sending MSFT stock higher toward a new 2025 high of $449.40.
This breakout is more than a technical development. It coincided with renewed investor optimism following the 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China, announced at the start of the week. The agreement to temporarily lower tariffs boosted risk appetite across U.S. equity markets, lifting major tech names—Microsoft included.
Microsoft rally backed by U.S.-China tariff truce optimism despite overbought RSI
By the Tuesday premarket session, Microsoft was trading near $449, holding above the January peak and posting a nearly 14% gain so far in May. On the daily chart, Monday’s rally produced a bullish pin bar—a technical pattern often interpreted as a signal for continued upside. Both the daily and 4-hour RSI indicators, however, are now deep in overbought territory, pointing to overheated short-term conditions.
Microsoft stock price dynamics (Dec 2024 - May 2025)
Despite the overbought signals, momentum remains to the upside. Microsoft is now just 4% below its all-time high of $468.50, and the next immediate target is the nine-month high at $456, a level last touched in December 2024. The sustained upward pressure shows that buyers are still in control, though profit-taking could emerge as price nears key resistance zones.
Technically, the structure remains strong. The retest of $439.60 as support confirms bullish control, and there’s no significant bearish divergence yet on the RSI indicator. From a broader market view, if the truce between the U.S. and China gains more structure or duration, investor appetite for tech stocks could improve further—potentially pushing Microsoft closer to record territory.
In the near term, traders will be watching whether Microsoft stock can break above $456. A failure at that level may open the door for short-term pullbacks, but a clean break would put the $468.50 all-time high in direct sight.
Microsoft stock jumped to a new 2025 high after strong earnings and easing U.S.-China trade tensions lifted investor confidence. The price broke above its January peak and recovered all Q1 losses.