Bitcoin could reach new ATH amid passage of ‘Big Beautiful Bill'
Bitcoin is poised for a new rally
Bitcoin could surge to $150,000 in the coming weeks if history repeats itself, analysts say, as macroeconomic factors and a major U.S. fiscal stimulus echo conditions that led to its 2020 bull run.
The optimism centers around President Donald Trump’s anticipated “Big Beautiful Bill,” a massive spending proposal timed around Independence Day.
Markets are watching closely: in late 2020, Bitcoin rallied 38% after Trump signed a pandemic relief bill. Similar liquidity expansion today could spark another wave of buying in the cryptocurrency space.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin is poised for a new rally on the back of Trump's budget bill, similar to late 2020 trends.
- Record-high equity markets and global liquidity expansion provide a favorable macro backdrop.
- Analysts warn of a possible near-term BTC peak.
Market catalysts echo 2020 surge
Bitcoin is riding a wave of optimism as record-breaking equity markets and growing fiscal stimulus expectations generate tailwinds for risk assets. The proposed “Big Beautiful Bill” by President Trump has reignited bullish sentiment, with analysts drawing parallels to 2020, when Bitcoin climbed nearly 40% after similar fiscal actions.
Bitcoin’s price—already nearing all-time highs, according to projections cited by market commentators like Crypto Rover.
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Liquidity surge and debt fears fuel Bitcoin case
In the past, July has also traditionally been a good month for bitcoin - on average, it added about 7%, which creates a favorable seasonal background. Current conditions indicate a high probability that the cryptocurrency will soon renew its all-time highs.
Traders are also responding to swelling global liquidity and surging U.S. money supply. With national debt forecasted to hit $40 trillion by 2025, many investors see Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat depreciation. The alignment of increasing liquidity, fiscal largesse, and reduced real yields creates ideal conditions for Bitcoin to rally further.
Bitcoin price dynamics (July 2025). Source: TradingView
Risk of near-term peak remains
While the macro backdrop is highly supportive, some analysts caution that Bitcoin may peak sooner than expected. With speculative fervor rising and leverage increasing in crypto markets, a near-term correction could precede further upside. Nevertheless, long-term sentiment remains solidly bullish.
Investors are bracing for a potential repeat of Bitcoin’s explosive 2020 rally. With macroeconomic conditions strikingly similar and the cryptocurrency already nearing record highs, all eyes are on Washington this July. The coming weeks could mark a decisive moment for Bitcoin’s trajectory in 2025.
We also wrote about the upcoming сrypto week: U.S. House to consider key GENIUS and CLARITY bills.
