US dollar to Canadian dollar Signals and Price Predictions

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Start Trading USD/CAD
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USD/CAD is a major currency pair, although it does have lower trading volume than EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Canada is a country with a developed economy strongly impacted by the commodity sector. USD/CAD is called a commodity pair. International policy news or relations between the U.S. and other countries have lesser influence on the pair’s price than on other majors. Meanwhile, the prices for energies, metals and other commodities may have an impact on the price of the Canadian dollar. The American session is the best time to trade USD/CAD. The pair’s volatility is higher than average.

1

Recommendation for USD/CAD on the 15M timeframe is Strong Buy.

2

Recommendation for USD/CAD on the 1H timeframe is Neutral.

3

Recommendation for USD/CAD on the 1D timeframe is Neutral.

The USD/CAD currency pair shows relatively stable prolonged trends that form under the influence of global demand for commodities and trade balance of Canada and the U.S. and other key buyers. The Canadian dollar had a confident strengthening period starting from 2002. The 2008 crisis affected the neighboring economies more than the U.S. economy, causing the U.S. currency price to rise against CAD for more than 12 months. Starting from 2015, the MN interval shows formation of a flat with strong trend movements inside the corridor. How can traders use this for day trading? Will the USD/CAD price slide against geopolitical issues and peak prices for energies?


In our article, you will be able to learn the latest price forecasts and signals on the USD/CAD currency exchange rate for 1 hour-1 week. USD/CAD forecasts and signals are based on the technical analysis indicators.

NOTE!

On this page, you will find the latest information about current prices, updated and new forecasts for short and long-term intervals:

  • Asset quotes are updated every minute.
  • Price chart is updated every minute.
  • Technical indicator data is updated according to the time frame. For example, on M5, the data is updated every 5 minutes.
  • Medium and long-term forecasts are updated every hour.

USD/CAD forecast for 1 day, 1 week, 1 month

USD/CAD forecast by TU is prepared automatically on the basis of technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe you need to find out USD/CAD price prediction for today.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different timeframes. If you want to hold the USD/CAD for longer than 1 week/1 month, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions.

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Indicator Based Technical Analysis of USD/CAD

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the US Dollar to Canadian dollar currency exchange rate. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

USD/CAD Chart Online

What Influences USD/CAD Long-term Price Forecast

Prices of nearly all currency pairs are influenced by the ratio of the strength of the economies in the pair and their macroeconomic statistics: GDP, inflation, unemployment, industrial output, balance of payments, discount rates, etc. The balance swings in favor of the economy with stronger, stabler and better macroeconomic indicators. Increase of discount rates to curb inflation improves the value of the country’s currency, where the speculative capital flows.


Other factors impacting the USD/CAD price:

  • Oil prices. Canada has large oil reserves, including shale oil. The country is one of the top oil products exporters, which is why an increase in oil prices strengthens the Canadian dollar against other currencies;
  • Formation of reserves by other countries. The Canadian dollar is used as a reserve currency in the gold and currency reserves of several key countries. This guarantees stability of the CAD price against other currencies, including the U.S. dollar;
  • Geopolitical situation. This is about the situation that impacts the global demand for commodities and, accordingly, the budget revenues of Canada.

Canada’s proximity to the U.S. largely determines the change in the pair’s price, as does the oil price. Other internal factors impact the price to a lesser extent.

Latest exchange rates online

Price prediction methodology

The following tools and instruments were used for making the prediction:


Basic instruments of technical analysis. The forecast relies on basic technical indicators. The analysis was performed mostly on medium and long-term time frames for more accurate results.

Chart analysis. Analysis comprises a review of key levels of support, resistance, trend lines, as well as patterns formed on different time frames.

Statistical tools help evaluate a probability of a fundamental factor that could impact the price, its nature and intensity of impact.

Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis; modeling, adaptive forecasting methods.

Expert opinions and consensus forecast.

NOTE!

This forecast is based on current information and data of previous periods. Emergence of strong fundamental factors capable of radically changing the overall market trend and subsequent price trend is possible. The forecasts are updated regularly based on the latest data.

This article is created for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Be aware of the high volatility of cryptocurrencies and consider these risks when making investment decisions.

FAQs

Is the USD/CAD pair suitable for novice traders?

Yes. Compared to EUR/USD, the most popular pair, this instrument is more predictable. Traders need to primarily monitor the macroeconomic statistics of both countries: discount rates, balance of payments, commodity prices. With high volatility, the support and resistance levels are more visible on the pair’s chart, as there is less speculative capital of market makers here that rock the market, and more trend and position investors.

What are the best strategies for trading USD/CAD?

Since USD/CAD is a commodity pair, the news trading strategies work well in this case. For example, there is macroeconomic statistics. In terms of technical analysis, day “trend line breakout” strategies with the use of Price Action, swing trading on H1-H4 time frames and Fibonacci levels trading can be used.

How much can you make by trading USD/CAD?

The average daily volatility of the pair is around 130-140, according to the volatility calculator. For comparison: the volatility of the EUR/USD pair is 100-120 on the same time frame. You can earn from day price fluctuations. Fundamental movement could bring 70-150 per day. You can calculate potential return by knowing the pip value, position volume and the percentage of unprofitable trades (this parameter can be obtained during strategy testing on a demo account).

What assets does USD/CAD have a big direct correlation with?

On the day interval, the USD/CAD has the highest correlation with USD/SGD and USD/SEC at around 89%, and practically full negative correlation (96%) with the AUD/USD pair. In the H1 time frame, the statistics are similar. Traders who use correlation in their trading strategies should take into consideration the USD/CHF pair.