US dollar to Mexican Peso Signals and Price Predictions

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Start Trading USD/MXN
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The USD/MXN currency pair is considered one of the most promising among developing countries in North and South America. On certain timeframes, the Mexican peso has strengthened against the USD at a faster pace, surpassing another promising currency, the Brazilian real, in this regard. The stability of the USD/MXN exchange rate has been disrupted only once in the past 10 years - in March 2020. At that time, Mexico's national currency was considered one of the most attractive among speculative traders inclined towards high risk. The pandemic triggered a sharp flight of speculative capital, causing the USD/MXN price to rise from 18.8 to 24.2 pesos per dollar in a matter of days, reaching historic highs.

1

Recommendation for USD/MXN on the 15M timeframe is Strong Buy.

2

Recommendation for USD/MXN on the 1H timeframe is Neutral.

3

Recommendation for USD/MXN on the 1D timeframe is Neutral.

Since the pandemic, the USD/MXN price has predominantly had a bearish trend, recently reaching a seven-year low. The key to the strengthening of the Mexican peso lies in:

  • Strict budgetary discipline, a focus on avoiding external loans, and reducing government debt.
  • Gradually raising interest rates to curb inflation. After the pandemic, nearly doubling the interest rate helped reduce inflation from 8.7% to 5% in almost a year. This increased the real yield of government bonds and attracted additional investment capital to the country.
  • Reduced risks of a recession in the United States. After the Federal Reserve successfully curbed inflation, prospects for trade improved. The United States is the main market for Latin American countries.

In the short and medium term, analysts forecast a continuation of slow strengthening.


In our article, you will be able to learn the latest price forecasts and signals on the USD/MXN currency exchange rate for 1 hour-1 week. USD/MXN forecasts and signals are based on the technical analysis indicators.

NOTE!

On this page, you will find the latest information about current prices, updated and new forecasts for short and long-term intervals:

  • Asset quotes are updated every minute.
  • Price chart is updated every minute.
  • Technical indicator data is updated according to the time frame. For example, on M5, the data is updated every 5 minutes.
  • Medium and long-term forecasts are updated every hour.

USD/MXN forecast for 1 day, 1 week, 1 month

USD/MXN forecast by TU is prepared automatically on the basis of technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe you need to find out USD/MXN price prediction for today.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different timeframes. If you want to hold the USD/MXN for longer than 1 week/1 month, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions.

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Indicator Based Technical Analysis of USD/MXN

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the US Dollar to Mexican Peso currency exchange rate. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

USD/MXN Chart Online

What Influences USD/MXN Long-term Price Forecast

Deutsche Bank considers MXN one of the most expensive currencies among developing countries. Analysts are betting that the seven-year lows represent a key support level that is unlikely to be breached by a downward trend. On the other hand, the Central Bank's policy is aimed at strengthening the peso, so a long-term upward trend is unlikely.


Key factors impacting the USD/MXN price:

  • The state of the U.S. economy. The United States is Mexico's main trading partner. Rising inflation in the U.S., import restrictions to support domestic producers, and increasing unemployment in the U.S. would weaken the peso more than the U.S. dollar weakens against other currencies.
  • Monetary policy of the Central Bank of Mexico. Any instruments that reduce inflation attract investors and strengthen the peso.
  • Macroeconomic indicators of the economy, such as GDP, trade balance, and industry performance. A positive forecast strengthens MXN.

The exchange rate is also influenced by the overall state of the economy and unforeseen events. Mexico's economy is weaker than that of the United States. Therefore, in the event of a global crisis, there is a high probability that the Mexican peso would devalue against the USD.

Latest exchange rates online

Price prediction methodology

The following tools and instruments were used for making the prediction:


Basic instruments of technical analysis. The forecast relies on basic technical indicators. The analysis was performed mostly on medium and long-term time frames for more accurate results.

Chart analysis. Analysis comprises a review of key levels of support, resistance, trend lines, as well as patterns formed on different time frames.

Statistical tools help evaluate a probability of a fundamental factor that could impact the price, its nature and intensity of impact.

Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis; modeling, adaptive forecasting methods.

Expert opinions and consensus forecast.

NOTE!

This forecast is based on current information and data of previous periods. Emergence of strong fundamental factors capable of radically changing the overall market trend and subsequent price trend is possible. The forecasts are updated regularly based on the latest data.

This article is created for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Be aware of the high volatility of cryptocurrencies and consider these risks when making investment decisions.

FAQs

How much is $100 in Mexico right now?

The USD/MXN exchange rate depends on various factors: the monetary policy of Mexico, trade relations including with the United States, and the state of the American economy. As of now, the value of $100 is approximately MX$16.97365.

Why is MXN so strong?

The Central Bank and the Government of Mexico adhere to a strict monetary policy, reducing dependence on external borrowing, maintaining a minimal trade balance deficit (sometimes a surplus), maintaining close financial and trade relations with the United States, and exercising strict control over inflation levels.

When should I buy Mexican Peso?

After the pandemic, the long-term trend for the Mexican peso is predominantly downward. There are two situations where you can potentially benefit from purchasing it: scalping strategies that involve opening positions during intraday volatility or waiting for a strong support level to be reached along with fundamental factors weakening MXN (such as rising inflation, GDP forecasts, etc.) for a long-term strategy.

What trading strategies are suitable for the Mexican Peso?

Any intraday strategies that allow you to earn on volatility: swing trading, news trading, Price Action, etc.