How Much Will Silver Be In 2024?
The outlook for Silver in 2024 is moderately bullish, with forecasts suggesting prices could reach $19-35 per ounce. Economic trends, industrial demand, investment interest, and supply dynamics are likely key price drivers. Technical analysis shows Silver trading within a triangle pattern, indicating continued uncertainty in direction.
Source: | Price prediction for Silver, in 2024 |
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Goldman Sachs |
Goldman Sachs forecasted Silver to reach $29.50 in 2024 |
JPMorgan sees prices reaching $30 on rate cuts and inflation hedging. |
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The World Bank expects a $20-25 trading range amid global slowdown risks. |
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Traders Union |
It expects the price to be $22.602 in the middle of the year and $19.398 at the end of 2024. |
With its dual precious and industrial metal attributes, Silver captures the imagination of investors looking to hedge risks and capitalize on emerging technologies. As 2024 unfolds, analysts are crunching the numbers to decipher where Silver prices could be heading next. Might we see it test $50 an ounce or retreat below $20? This article examines the core factors, and synthesizing expert projections provides insights into Silver's possibilities over the next year.
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Will Silver hit $30 an ounce in 2024?
Some analysts predict Silver could reach $30 per ounce in 2024, but others expect prices to remain between $20 and 25. Reaching $30 would require sustained economic growth, strong industrial demand, and inflation hedging needs.
What will the price of Silver be in 2024?
Silver has a complex profile reacting to both economic conditions and industrial fundamentals. This mix of drivers makes forecasting Silver's future path challenging. Nevertheless, below we highlight some key factors that could determine its trajectory in 2024.
Technical analysis perspective
Technicians studying the Silver price charts see the metal trading within a triangle consolidation pattern in early 2024, indicating balanced sentiment and directional uncertainty in the near term.
Technical analysis shows that there is no pronounced price trend in the silver market
A decisive breakout above the ~$25 resistance point could imply a move towards $33. At the same time, a drop below ~$21 support could trigger a fall to around $17.50, as the pattern dictates. The range-bound price action between these levels is likely until a clear trend emerges.
While chart analysis has its limitations, it serves as an instrumental tool for scrutinizing risk/reward scenarios and for strategizing timings. Nevertheless, the critical factors previously mentioned will surely influence the resolution of the triangle pattern. An attitude of deliberation and attentive examination is essential.
Economic trends
Like gold, Silver acts as an inflation and uncertainty hedge. When GDP growth stalls, currencies weaken, or recession hits, investors often park money in precious metals for safety. In 2024, looming recession worries or extended inflation could kindle interest in Silver as a store of value if growth prospects dim. Mainstream assets like stocks become less appealing in such environments.
However, Silver also benefits from periods of solid expansion and optimism. The 2010s boom years following the Great Recession saw Silver rise thanks to robust industrial demand. Too much recession fear could thus become self-fulfilling by undermining broader markets that support Silver.
Monetary policy
Central bank moves likewise significantly sway precious metals markets. When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, a stronger dol
But if global growth slows in 2024, markets expect the Fed to cut rates, potentially weakening the dollar. This could refuel investment in inflation hedges. The exact pace and magnitude of Fed tightening or easing will shape sentiment.
Industrial demand
While sensitive to economic swings, roughly half of Silver demand comes from industrial uses, including electronics, solar panels, autos, and medicine. Growing adoption of technologies utilizing Silver feeds through into higher prices.
Most analysts remain bullish on Silver's industrial demand trajectory based on the increased use of technologies like 5G, EVs, IoT devices, and photovoltaics. However, periodic manufacturing slumps or supply chain issues could intermittently affect near-term demand.
Investment demand
According to the Silver Institute, silver supply (through mining and refining) has increased for 3 years in a row to 1,024.9 million ounces in 2023. However, demand (including from precious metals investors) exceeds supply at 1,167 million ounces. Thus, this imbalance could be an argument in favor of bullish sentiment in the silver market in 2024.
Geopolitical tensions
Political conflicts and their economic consequences often affect the price of precious metals. The price of silver rose sharply on news of a Russian attack on Ukraine in February 2022, and silver also rose in October 2023 on news of Israeli shelling.
While the geopolitical landscape is overly complex and poorly predictable, it is conceivable that the emergence of new hotspots on the planet in 2024 will be a bullish driver for the silver market.
Mining supply and recycling frequency
Supply comes from mining and recycled scrap silver. If there's a shortage or disruption in supply, prices could go up to the limit. But higher prices can also make mining companies and individuals more willing to sell.
If there's a big disruption in supply in 2024, the market could get tighter, especially if demand stays strong. However, the expected supply seems enough unless there are unforeseen issues. Also, as the economy grows, more Silver gets recycled and put back into use.
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What are the forecasts for the price of Silver 2024?
Analytical forecasts provide a probabilistic range for where Silver prices could be heading in 2024.
Consider the predictions from leading institutions:
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JPMorgan: $30 price target by late 2024 based on Fed rate cuts and inflation hedging demand.
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World Bank: A $20-25 range is seen based on global slowdown risks and monetary tightening.
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Heraeus: The $22-29 price band is forecasted owing to industrial and investment demand.
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InvestingHaven:
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Silver Institute: Supply deficit environment and robust demand could maintain the upside.
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Standard Chartered: $23 average, with rising industrial use offsetting weak investment.
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Capital Economics: If a recession hits and industrial activity falls, we could see a drop below $20.
Based on current data and assumptions, these predictions indicate a potential trading range of around $20-35 for Silver in 2024. The high end requires most things to go right on the demand side, while the low end reflects recessionary scenarios.
Interested in investing in silver for your portfolio? Check out our straightforward list of top places to buy Silver in 2024.
Silver price prediction long-term forecast
Silver has historically demonstrated significant price volatility, making long-term predictions inherently challenging. However, analyzing key economic and industry factors driving Silver demand and supply can provide insights into potential future price ranges.
According to industry research by TradersUnion’s precious metals analysts, Silver prices could fluctuate within the following projected ranges over the next decade:
Year | Price in the middle of the year | Price at the end of the year |
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2024 | $22.602 | $19.398 |
2025 | $18.229 | $16.425 |
2026 | $23.857 | $19.747 |
2027 | $20.299 | $19.454 |
2028 | $20.748 | $18.29 |
2029 | $19.908 | $20.222 |
2030 | $27.768 | $29.107 |
2031 | $29.024 | $24.589 |
2032 | $23.711 | $26.006 |
The TU’s analysts foresee periodic volatility driven by economic cycles, industrial demand shifts, geopolitics, and other macro factors. However, the overall trend is a gradual rise in the long term. This is due to the use of technology and potential supply shortages pushing up prices.
These forecasts should be used as a guide, not a definitive future prediction. Unanticipated events might cause prices to deviate from the projected ranges. Keeping a long-term view and adjusting your positions as things change is smart. Remember that Silver's high volatility means its price trends won't always be steady.
Conclusion
As we approach 2024, expectations for Silver's value are cautiously optimistic despite much uncertainty. Predictions on how much it will rise may vary, but a general upward trend is expected based on consistent economic patterns and ongoing industrial needs.
Given the current market parameters, the plausible price trading range around an approximate spectrum of $20-$35 can be anticipated. Nevertheless, binary outcomes of a precipitous ascent or a significant descent, contingent on the volatile interplay of demand and supply, cannot be discounted. For investors, patience coupled with rigorous discipline will be paramount.
Glossary for novice traders
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1
Broker
A broker is a legal entity or individual that performs as an intermediary when making trades in the financial markets. Private investors cannot trade without a broker, since only brokers can execute trades on the exchanges.
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Trading
Trading involves the act of buying and selling financial assets like stocks, currencies, or commodities with the intention of profiting from market price fluctuations. Traders employ various strategies, analysis techniques, and risk management practices to make informed decisions and optimize their chances of success in the financial markets.
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Investor
An investor is an individual, who invests money in an asset with the expectation that its value would appreciate in the future. The asset can be anything, including a bond, debenture, mutual fund, equity, gold, silver, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and real-estate property.
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4
Volatility
Volatility refers to the degree of variation or fluctuation in the price or value of a financial asset, such as stocks, bonds, or cryptocurrencies, over a period of time. Higher volatility indicates that an asset's price is experiencing more significant and rapid price swings, while lower volatility suggests relatively stable and gradual price movements.
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CFD
CFD is a contract between an investor/trader and seller that demonstrates that the trader will need to pay the price difference between the current value of the asset and its value at the time of contract to the seller.
Team that worked on the article
Upendra Goswami is a full-time digital content creator, marketer, and active investor. As a creator, he loves writing about online trading, blockchain, cryptocurrency, and stock trading.
Dr. BJ Johnson is a PhD in English Language and an editor with over 15 years of experience. He earned his degree in English Language in the U.S and the UK. In 2020, Dr. Johnson joined the Traders Union team. Since then, he has created over 100 exclusive articles and edited over 300 articles of other authors.
Mirjan Hipolito is a journalist and news editor at Traders Union. She is an expert crypto writer with five years of experience in the financial markets. Her specialties are daily market news, price predictions, and Initial Coin Offerings (ICO).