Will Silver Go To $100 An Ounce? Analysts' Forecasts

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Hitting $100 per ounce in the near future for silver seems unlikely. Despite some experts having a positive outlook on its long-term possibilities, most don't see prices exceeding $50. This can only happen if unexpected significant events take place. Unlike gold, industrial demand for silver makes its price more dependent on the economy than its status as a safety net investment. Analysts from the Trade Union predict that by 2025, the XAG rate could reach USD $19.028, climb to USD $31.71 by 2030, and ascend to USD 24.589 by 2032, based on their long-term forecast.

Silver's appeal and industrial utility have intrigued traders and investors for centuries. Recent years have seen increased volatility in silver prices amid economic uncertainty and shifting supply and demand. This has led to speculation about silver potentially reaching $100 an ounce.

While this price might seem optimistic, understanding the factors that could drive silver to such heights is useful in assessing its future. This article explores expert predictions and arguments for and against silver reaching $100.

  • Can we trade silver online?

    Yes, online brokerages let you trade silver. They give you access to spot contracts, futures, ETFs, and CFDs that are all based on silver prices.

  • What does XAG/USD mean?

    XAG/USD is the forex asset code representing the price of silver against the US dollar, reflecting the real-time silver spot price.

  • How do you trade with Silver?

    Depending on your trading strategy and capital, you can trade silver in various forms, including physical coins/bars, futures contracts, ETFs, CFDs, and forex pairs like XAGUSD.

  • Is silver about to skyrocket?

    While some analysts see the potential for silver prices to rise, a skyrocketing move is not expected shortly without a significant, unforeseen market event.

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Is the price of silver expected to rise?

Silver is well-known for its price changes, which are more unpredictable compared to gold. This characteristic, along with its aesthetic appeal, draws traders. Its relatively smaller market size compared to gold theoretically allows it to adapt more easily with focused capital movements.

As a precious metal, silver often benefits in times of economic uncertainty. For example, silver's historical peak of around $49.80 per ounce was due in part to the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis.

Silver price long-term view

Silver price long-term view

However, it would be misleading to classify silver as a completely secure asset. In contrast to gold, silver finds extensive application across various industries, inclusive of electronics, solar energy, and medical fields, which significantly influence its market value. For instance, silver prices suffered initially during the 2020 economic lockdowns. Still, they recovered as economic activity resumed.

Most analysts view industrial demand as the key driver of any sustained silver bull market. The shift to clean energy, 5G technology, cloud computing, and electric vehicles is expected to drive strong silver demand over the next decade, while economic slowdowns might intermittently affect prices.

Geopolitical conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war could cause price spikes. However, silver has historically been less resilient than gold during conflicts. Silver's unique dual nature as a precious and industrial metal makes its price more variable than typical safe-haven assets.

Yet, experts remain optimistic about its long-term trajectory based on strong industrial demand. If you would like to know more about Silver forecasts, you can refer to this article - Silver (XAG) price prediction 2024, 2025, 2030.

Silver price forecasts 2024

Source Projected Silver Price

Poll by Reuters

$24.85

AI Model by PricePrediction.net

$33.65

InvestingHaven

$34.70

Silver Institute

$30.00

Will silver ever hit $50 an ounce?

According to most analysts, reaching $50 per ounce seems more feasible for silver than surpassing $100. Silver nearly reached this milestone in 2011, hitting $49.82, driven by strong industrial demand. Since then, it has not approached this level, though some investors believe $50 is attainable if inflationary pressures continue.

While not certain, silver hitting $50 is plausible during exceptional industrial demand and precious metals investment flows. However, it would likely need a combination of factors that may not emerge soon.

Will silver ever hit $100 an ounce?

A jump in silver prices from $50 to $100 would demand a significant rethinking of its value. This is something most specialists don't expect unless under extraordinary situations. Yet, there's a slim possibility.

Factors that could drive silver to reach $100 per ounce could include:

  • Severe dollar crisis or hyperinflation resulting from events like a sovereign debt default or unraveling of the petrodollar system. Currency devaluation often drives holders to swap dollars for hard assets.

  • A global industrial surge due to the widespread adoption of technologies like solar, electric vehicles, 5G, and the Internet of Things may push industrial silver demand to extreme levels, straining supply chains.

  • Geopolitical shocks such as major wars, trade disputes, energy crises, etc. that threaten global growth and stability can make silver more attractive relative to currencies and stocks.

  • A supply crunch caused by a sharp drop in mine production due to resource depletion, political factors, or natural disasters could create a structural supply deficit, necessitating a dramatic price increase to curb demand.

  • Substantial increases in silver holdings by central banks as a currency diversification could drive monetary demand, impacting the price.

While the chances seem slim, a perfect convergence of several such factors could potentially catapult silver into triple-digit territory, according to the most bullish analysts. However, this would require a "black swan" scenario that deviates from silver's current trajectory.

Will silver ever reach $1000 an ounce?

The idea that silver could reach $1000 per ounce is speculative and lacks mainstream support. Such a scenario would necessitate an unprecedented collapse in global currencies relative to hard assets. Even during historic precious metals appreciation periods, like the 1970s, silver peaked below $50, adjusted for inflation.

The argument for $1000 silver hinges on achieving parity with gold's current ~$2000 price, suggesting the gold-silver ratio should be closer to 9:1 based on relative rarity rather than over 70:1 today. However, this view overlooks differences in demand affecting the metals' prices.

While silver may appreciate further industrial use, it lacks gold's status as a global currency reserve. Central banks hold minimal silver, so monetary influences on its price are weaker. Overall, the prospect of silver reaching $1000 in the foreseeable future seems very unlikely without extreme currency debasement.

If you would like to know about today’s silver forecast, you can refer to this article - Silver Price forecast for today by Traders Union analysts.

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Is silver good to trade and invest?

Apart from speculation on its potential high prices, silver offers several appealing attributes for trading and investment:

  • Volatility - Compared to other metals, silver's high price swings make it ideal for short-term trades around key chart levels. Its volatility also presents opportunities to enter long-term positions during periodic dips.

  • Industrial utility - Rising industrial demand from electronics, solar, and auto manufacturing underpins a solid fundamental base and buffers against economic shocks.

  • Precious qualities - Silver shares similarities with gold as an inflation and crisis hedge, adding appeal during market turmoil.

  • Affordability - Lower nominal prices and smaller unit sizes like 1 oz coins enable smaller retail investors to participate, whereas larger gold bars might be inaccessible for many.

  • Liquidity - High trading volumes in spot, futures, and ETF markets facilitate easy entry and exit from positions with tight spreads.

  • Versatility - Silver can be traded through various instruments, including spot XAG/USD, futures, options, mining stocks, ETFs, and bullion, accommodating diverse strategies.

  • Technical trading - Like gold, silver adheres well to technical analysis, such as trendlines and chart patterns, enabling systematic timing of entries and exits.

  • Portfolio diversification - Offering non-correlated exposure, silver helps offset stock market risk. A mix of precious metals is a common inflation hedge.

Silver's dual industrial and monetary appeal allows it to serve multiple portfolio roles, hedging risks and capitalizing on sector-specific upside. Maintaining a modest allocation to silver and trading around its volatility presents attractive opportunities.

Conclusion

While analysts universally expect silver prices to increase in the long run, a surge to the $100 mark appears unlikely, barring unforeseen events. The current industrial demand trends provide a solid foundation. Still, they are insufficient to justify a significant revaluation of the white metal.

More realistic forecasts suggest silver returning to the $30-$50 range in the next 5-10 years is plausible. This would depend on continued economic recovery, sustained industrial and technology growth, and investment in precious metals. Patience and discipline are essential for trading around silver’s inherent volatility.

Team that worked on the article

Upendra Goswami
Contributor

Upendra Goswami is a full-time digital content creator, marketer, and active investor. As a creator, he loves writing about online trading, blockchain, cryptocurrency, and stock trading.

Dr. BJ Johnson
Dr. BJ Johnson
Developmental English Editor

Dr. BJ Johnson is a PhD in English Language and an editor with over 15 years of experience. He earned his degree in English Language in the U.S and the UK. In 2020, Dr. Johnson joined the Traders Union team. Since then, he has created over 100 exclusive articles and edited over 300 articles of other authors.

Mirjan Hipolito
Cryptocurrency and stock expert

Mirjan Hipolito is a journalist and news editor at Traders Union. She is an expert crypto writer with five years of experience in the financial markets. Her specialties are daily market news, price predictions, and Initial Coin Offerings (ICO).