Rocket Lab completes Wet Dress Rehearsal: Will RKLB hold $49.84 support?

Rocket Lab completes Wet Dress Rehearsal: Will RKLB hold $49.84 support?
Rocket Lab stock rises 1% today

Rocket Lab Corporation has confirmed its Electron rocket is set for its 98th mission from Launch Complex 1, supporting Hawkeye 360's growing satellite constellation. The stock is up 1% on the day at $51.36.

RKLB price prediction
24H 0.99%
$51.87
48H 0.41%
$51.57
7D -1.03%
$50.83
1M -14%
$44.17
3M -27.63%
$37.17
6M 1.38%
$52.07
12M -13.61%
$44.37
Current price: $51.36 0.5250 1.03%
Closed 10/19
Daily range 51.33 Arrow from to Icon 52.93
Weekly range 49.84 Arrow from to Icon 64.55
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Highlights

  • Rocket Lab confirmed its Electron rocket is ready for its 98th mission, deploying three HAWK satellites for Hawkeye 360.
  • 62 of 78 analysts rate Rocket Lab stock a buy, with a median price target of $105, roughly 104.4% above current levels.
  • Rocket Lab stock rose 1% on the day to $51.36.

Rocket Lab announced the completion of a Wet Dress Rehearsal, confirming that its Electron rocket is ready for launch. The upcoming mission, named 'We are Not Hawking Around', will be the 98th for Electron and is set to depart from Launch Complex 1. The flight will carry three HAWK satellites to a 520km low Earth orbit for Hawkeye 360, supporting the expansion of their RF-sensing constellation that collects maritime signal data.

Bearish structure holds as price pulls back despite launch update

Rocket Lab stock opened the session with a gap up from $50.84 to $52.28 before pulling back from those highs. The price remains below its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, which keeps the daily chart in a bearish structure. RSI at 25.3 is in oversold territory, limiting room for additional downside. The nearest support is the weekly low at $49.84.

Downside odds dominate as traders focus on support at $49.84

To gauge whether the contract partnership event is being absorbed by the market, traders should watch for price action around $49.84. During the latest session, the stock opened higher at $52.28 after closing at $50.84 and has since moved back from the opening level. Over the next five trading days, the probability of upside movement is less than 20%, while the probability of downside is more than 80%, with an expected trading range of $44.78 to $57.93. Even so, the past week saw a sharp move higher that was not accompanied by a sustained trend. A close above $63.98 would confirm buyers are committing to the move, while a drop below $49.84 would show rejection; the longer-term weekly chart remains firmly negative.

Earlier, analysts noted that Rocket Lab was experiencing sustained bearish momentum despite contract wins, with sellers dominating price action. The latest launch readiness news and intraday price recovery add a short-term improvement, but traders should monitor whether the stock can maintain support above $49.84 to assess if downside risk persists.

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