Chainlink remain subdued facing resistance at MA-20 following a drop in open interest – weekly analysis
Chainlink (LINK) is currently trading at $8.65, marking a weekly decline of just 0.14% and positioning the asset at the very bottom of its recent seven-day range with volatility at 12.62%. LINK remains significantly below its weekly MA-20 ($12.38), MA-50 ($15.44), and MA-200 ($12.39), illustrating ongoing bearish momentum and strong downward pressure.
Highlights
- Chainlink remains under sustained selling pressure, trading well below key moving averages and confirming a bearish trend.
- Momentum indicators on the weekly chart are distinctly bearish and reflect persistent negative sentiment with oversold conditions.
- LINK is likely to consolidate between $7.60 and $9.30 next week, with further declines favored and minimal rebound probability.
Institutional participation and product launches offset by reduced futures interest this week
CME Group launched cash-settled LINK futures on February 9, 2026, expanding access to regulated derivatives for institutional investors and supporting broader price discovery alongside the Grayscale GLNK ETF, which had accumulated over 1% of LINK's supply by March 2026. Chainlink was also selected as the official oracle provider for Ondo Finance’s Global Markets, delivering real-time price feeds for tokenized US equities to Ethereum and enabling new collateralization mechanisms in DeFi protocols. Additionally, major institutions including Visa, Fidelity International, ANZ, and China Asset Management completed a cross-border settlement pilot using Chainlink infrastructure under the Hong Kong Monetary Authority's e-HKD initiative, while open interest in LINK futures saw a notable reduction, reflecting more cautious market sentiment.
Bearish momentum intensifies as oversold signals prevail through the week
On the weekly chart, LINK remains firmly in a bearish trend, trading well below all major weekly moving averages: MA-20 at $12.38, MA-50 at $15.44, and MA-200 at $12.39. The nearest dynamic resistance sits at the MA-20. Technical indicators reinforce the negative tone — the MACD, ADX, Bull/Bear Power, and Awesome Oscillator all signal pronounced bearish momentum, while RSI hovers at 31 and both Stochastic RSI and CCI indicate oversold conditions. Weekly support is found at $7.60, with resistance at $9.30 and $12.38.
Lower consolidation expected as weak momentum sustains bearish outlook next week
For the next 5–7 trading days, Chainlink is expected to remain under pressure, consolidating within the $7.60 to $9.30 range. With no significant buy signals detected by the main weekly momentum indicators and continued negative sentiment, the probability of a rebound is below 20%. If LINK manages to break above $9.30, a brief recovery could emerge, but strong resistance persists at higher moving averages. Conversely, a drop below $7.60 may trigger accelerated selling, potentially moving the price toward new lows.
Last time, analysts noted that Chainlink exhibits short-term bullish momentum above its 20-day moving average, but remains constrained below key medium- and long-term averages, with mixed signals from momentum indicators including a neutral-low RSI, weakening bearish MACD, and strong sell from the Stochastic RSI. Immediate support is located near $8.37, while resistance around the 50-day moving average limits breakout prospects, making rangebound consolidation with downside risk the prevailing near-term outlook.
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