XRP price prediction: Approaching $1.44 resistance? XRP up 1.90%

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XRP rises 1.90% today to $1.4299

Highlights

SEC and CFTC officially designated XRP as a digital commodity, enabling the launch of seven U.S. spot XRP ETFs.
Spot XRP ETFs have surpassed $1 billion in AUM with strong net inflows of $1.44 billion, mainly from retail investors.
XRP trades with bullish short- and medium-term momentum, consolidating within a $1.37–$1.44 range, but near-term upside appears limited as technicals caution for possible downside if key support fails.

ETF inflows rise as retail drives momentum after commodity ruling

On March 17, 2026, the SEC and CFTC formally classified XRP as a digital commodity rather than a security. Seven spot XRP ETFs have launched in the U.S., with total assets under management exceeding $1 billion and Goldman Sachs as the largest institutional holder. The CLARITY Act, set to solidify XRP's commodity status in federal law, is advancing in the Senate, while net inflows into U.S. spot XRP ETFs have reached a three-month high at $1.44 billion, mainly from retail investors.

Muted trend strength as bullish signals meet resistance near $1.44

The price remains above the SMA-20 at $1.3678 and SMA-50 at $1.3852, but below the SMA-200 at $1.8781. The Ichimoku Kijun level sits at $1.3944 and now forms immediate support, stabilizing gains, while resistance is defined near $1.44. On the indicator side, the daily MACD signals "Buy" and BBP shows buyer dominance intraday, while the ADX is weak at 11.33, indicating muted directional strength. The RSI and CCI are both positioned bullishly but with mid-range values, Stoch RSI reads neutral, and the Awesome Oscillator remains positive alongside moderate volatility near daily highs.

Sideways consolidation likely as breakout prospects remain weak

Over the next five trading days, XRP is likely to consolidate within the typical volatility band of $1.37 – $1.44. The probability of a breakout to higher levels is low (below 20%), with a sideways price scenario seen as most likely in the short term. A sustained move above $1.44 could spark a brief upside rally, but if support at $1.37 is breached, a reversal to lower levels is possible.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP holding above its short- and medium-term averages, yet struggling below the key long-term SMA-200 at $1.8781. He notes that the formal commodity status, combined with significant ETF inflows, supports market sentiment, but technical signals point to muted momentum. The analyst remains cautious, as volatility narrows and directional strength stays weak. "Base case remains sideways between $1.37 and $1.44 in the near term — until $1.44 is broken, I stay neutral."

Previously it was reported that the launch of wrapped XRP on Solana and its integration into major messaging platforms marked a significant step toward broader cryptocurrency adoption. With strong inflows into new spot XRP ETFs and growing institutional involvement, traders should closely watch for a potential breakout above $1.44, as momentum and regulatory clarity could shift XRP’s prevailing consolidation phase.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.