XRP faces mixed signals as golden cross meets bearish divergence

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XRP golden cross and bearish divergence

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Mykhailo Ihnatenko

29.09.2026

XRP faces mixed signals as golden cross meets bearish divergence — XRP trades between bullish and bearish signals as a key range breakout approaches

XRP is facing an unusual technical setup in which a longer-term bullish signal and short-term momentum are pointing in opposite directions. That tension could make a breakout from the current range far more important than the latest day-to-day price swings.

XRP price prediction

24H 4.24%

$1.1039

48H 1.58%

$1.0757

7D -14.74%

$0.9029

1M -16.04%

$0.8891

3M -49.45%

$0.5353

6M -63.6%

$0.3855

12M -27.02%

$0.7729

Detailed

Current price: $1.059 -0.0363 3.31%

Real-time Data 14:24

Daily range 1.05

1.1063

Weekly range 1.0764

1.3414

Institutional buy interest in XRP still strong. As of September 28, U.S. spot XRP ETFs had already acquired close to 1.18 billion XRP, or approximately 1.18% of the token's total supply. Net inflows into XRP ETFs totaled $75.59 million during the week of September 21–25, according to SoSoValue.

The following supply-side event is Ripple's newest escrow window on October 1st in which a total of up to 1 billion XRP can theoretically be released. In the past, however, a large part of the monthly amount has been returned to escrow, so the maximum unlock does not mean that the entire volume will also go to market.

Golden cross supports bulls as RSI warns of downside risk

As noted previously, XRP has been in a short-term downtrend over the past three days.

The daily chart now presents an unusual technical combination. The 50-day SMA has crossed above the 200-day SMA, forming a golden cross, while RSI (14) is showing a bearish divergence. The simultaneous appearance of these signals creates a notable degree of technical uncertainty.

The next directional move is likely to depend on a break of either side of the $1.457–$1.661 range.

A move below support could send XRP toward the 50-day SMA near $1.349.

If macroeconomic pressure eases, the token could instead establish itself above $1.661, opening the way for further acceleration toward $1.811.

XRP remains resilient despite pressure from Treasury yields

The macroeconomic backdrop remains unfavorable for risk assets. On September 28, the 10-year Treasury yield briefly moved above 5.27% before settling near 5.23%.

Despite that pressure, XRP has so far remained relatively resilient. The three-day correction still looks more like localized profit-taking than a disorderly exit from the asset. Continued ETF inflows also suggest that broader institutional demand for XRP has not disappeared, although the next move will depend on which side of the current trading range gives way first.

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