Celestia price forecast: Downside risk elevated as sellers dominate near $0.5479 support

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Celestia drops 8.42% after Eden launch

Highlights

Celestia launched Eden, an EVM-compatible standalone blockchain using TIA for transaction fees, on October 15, 2026.
The Eden debut triggered over $2 million in liquidations of long positions, with open interest dropping 23%.
TIA/USD faces strong short- and medium-term bearish momentum, with high volatility and expected trading range of $0.5479 to $0.6661 over the next few days.

Long liquidations surge as Eden launch prompts sharp deleveraging

Celestia completed the launch of Eden, an EVM-compatible standalone blockchain that posts data to its main network and uses TIA for transaction fees, on October 15, 2026. According to Kucoin and Tokenpost, the debut of Eden triggered over $2 million in liquidations of long positions, reflecting a rapid unwinding of leveraged bets tied to the event. The aftermath also saw a 23% drop in Open Interest, indicating sizeable deleveraging and lower immediate liquidity across the market.

Bearish momentum dominates as price nears daily lows and key resistance

On the hourly chart, TIA is trading below both the MA-20 at $0.6132 and the MA-50 at $0.6399. On the daily timeframe, it remains above the MA-200 at $0.3852, while the Ichimoku Kijun sits at $0.6262 as immediate resistance. Momentum indicators show MACD in strong sell territory, with the ADX remaining neutral. RSI and Stoch RSI highlight prevailing selling momentum without indicating clear oversold levels, and CCI is neutral. Bull/Bear Power suggests some underlying buyer interest, though this has not translated into a shift in the intraday trend. The Awesome Oscillator continues to align with prevailing bearish sentiment. Notably, price action shows a negative gap of $0.0264, with TIA holding near daily lows amid heightened volatility.

Consolidation likely as downside risk overtakes upside potential

Over the next two to three trading days, TIA is expected to trade within the $0.5479 to $0.6661 range, reflecting the volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a downside move is high, while chances of an upward reversal are currently considered low. The base scenario anticipates consolidation inside this corridor; a clear break above $0.6262 could trigger bullish momentum, whereas a drop below range support could accelerate selling.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Celestia’s Eden launch as a major step forward for TIA’s real-world utility. The initial market reaction has been negative, with leveraged positions being rapidly unwound and overall sentiment under pressure. However, Karapetjanc believes the expanded application layer could support future adoption once short-term volatility cools. "Despite heightened downside pressure, I see this development boosting the token's fundamental outlook for those with a broader investment horizon."

Earlier, analysts noted that Celestia's Eden launch marked a significant protocol milestone, though it coincided with caution around downside risks despite a previously constructive technical outlook. The latest developments highlight a shift to short-term bearish momentum and heightened volatility, making $0.6262 an important resistance to monitor for any signs of bullish reversal in the near term.

Source of Data: TIA Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.