Polkadot weekly forecast: Stalls as MACD and ADX both signal sell

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Polkadot falls 3.47% this week

Highlights

Polkadot trades at $0.946, holding below all major trend markers and vulnerable to further downward price action.
Sell indications persist from MACD and ADX, while momentum remains unconfirmed and oscillators signal neutral conditions.
Price is expected to range between $0.878 and $1.013 over the next week, with a high likelihood of remaining below resistance at $0.996.

Stablecoin exploit drives caution as patch delay exposes protocol risk

Polkadot's Treasury suffered a loss of approximately $1.38 million in late October 2026 after an attacker exploited a vulnerability in the recently launched dotUSD stablecoin, according to CryptoSlate. Although the flaw was patched in June 2026, the fix was not applied to production systems, allowing the exploit to occur. Parity Technologies confirmed that user token balances were not directly affected, and a corrective upgrade has since been implemented.

Momentum turns negative as high volatility fuels technical uncertainty

On the daily chart, momentum remains unconfirmed with the MACD and ADX both signalling sell, while oscillators such as RSI and Stochastic RSI stay in neutral zones. The volatility over the past week was high at 14.61%, reflecting a sharp move lower without a sustained trend. Support is found at $0.869, while key resistance sits at $0.996, with the Ichimoku Kijun line at $1.083 acting as an additional resistance level.

Downside bias persists as resistance caps near-term recovery prospects

For the next 7 days, the expected range is $0.878 to $1.013, with a very low probability of an increase and a very high probability of a decrease. The base case calls for continued pressure within this range, likely holding below resistance at $0.996. A push above $0.996 could open the way to $1.013, while a break below support at $0.869 would risk a deeper slide.

Sholanke Dele, market strategist, sees Polkadot (DOT) struggling to regain confidence after a difficult week marked by a nearly 3.5% decline and security setbacks. News of the $1.38 million Polkadot Treasury exploit continues to weigh on sentiment, even though Parity Technologies implemented an upgrade to patch the vulnerability. Technically, daily momentum is unconfirmed with both the MACD and ADX signaling sell, while price volatility remains high and DOT trades near critical support at $0.869. With resistance at $0.996 capping any rebound, Dele believes the odds favor more downside in the days ahead. "Unless DOT can reclaim $0.996, I remain defensive and see further pressure as the base case for this week."

Earlier, analysts noted that Polkadot was exhibiting signs of a potential trend change following a period of heightened volatility and market repositioning. The recent emergence of security vulnerabilities and ongoing technical weakness adds significant downside risk, making sustained moves above $0.996 a critical level to monitor for any shift in momentum.

Source of Data: DOT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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