Yulia Slavina

Sterling steadies as Healey policy debut offers limited support to UK currency

Sterling steadies as Healey policy debut offers limited support to UK currency
Sterling reacts to Healey

Currency markets are weighing the UK's fiscal and growth outlook after finance minister John Healey delivers his first major economic speech. Sterling rises modestly against the dollar, holds broadly flat versus the euro and falls sharply against the yen as traders assess both domestic policy signals and shifting global rate expectations.

Highlights

  • Healey's debut outlines greater city region powers to attract private investment and reaffirms fiscal discipline, offering little new guidance for sterling direction.
  • Sterling rises 0.14% against the dollar to $1.3573 and stands at 85.86 pence per euro, recovering part of last week's losses amid broad U.S. currency softness.
  • The pound falls 0.8% to 209.41 yen, its lowest since February, as yen strength driven by repatriation, carry trade unwinds, and rate hike expectations persists.

Policy signals and market reaction

As reported by Reuters, Healey says city regions will get greater powers to attract private investment as part of Prime Minister Andy Burnham's drive to devolve authority from central government, while also reaffirming fiscal discipline and the need to curb rising costs for businesses and the public.

Much of the message on growth, deregulation and the cost of living echoes the approach of his predecessor Rachel Reeves, leaving traders with little fresh guidance on the pound's direction. Sterling stands at 85.86 pence per euro, marginally firmer on the day, and gains 0.14% against the dollar to $1.3573, helped in part by a softer U.S. currency against most peers.

The move also helps the pound recover some of the losses recorded last week against both the euro and the dollar. Barclays analysts say that earlier weakness reflects pressure from higher global yields and a gradual, though still preliminary, shift in investor focus toward the October Budget.

Budget scrutiny and yen pressure

Investors are now watching how Healey will advance Burnham's priorities, from house-building and social care to defence, while preserving fiscal discipline. Barclays says that tension is creating some unease in the market, adding that the end of the August lull is bringing closer scrutiny of UK policy and economic fundamentals, tilting the risk-reward balance modestly against sterling.

The sharpest move is against the yen, where the pound drops 0.8% to 209.41 yen, its lowest level since February. The Japanese currency is strengthening broadly as possible capital repatriation, carry trade unwinding, U.S. political pressure and expectations of faster Bank of Japan rate hikes combine to support it, after the yen hit 19-year lows against sterling in August and 40-year lows versus the dollar.

Our earlier report on John Healey’s October Budget tightrope explained that the new finance minister faces an early test: funding Andy Burnham’s priorities on housing, social care, defence and devolution while keeping to fiscal rules and avoiding a bond-market backlash. We noted that the plan is likely to involve politically difficult trade-offs, including potential tax rises and decisions on how to plug a near-term defence funding gap as investors focus on shrinking budget headroom.

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