DAX price forecast: 25,600 resistance in focus as DAX gains 1.66%

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DAX up 1.66% today at 25302.11

Highlights

The DAX maintains a bullish technical profile, trading well above short-, medium-, and long-term support levels.
Momentum indicators show sustained buyer strength, but several oscillators warn of persistent overbought conditions and potential short-term exhaustion.
Expected trading range for the coming week is 24,800 to 25,600, with a moderate probability of further gains unless the index dips below 24,800, signaling corrective risk.

Overbought risk emerges as DAX holds above key supports

The DAX has cleared technical landmarks at 24,329.08 (SMA-20), 23,809.90 (SMA-50), and 24,136.58 (SMA-200), with the Ichimoku Kijun level at 24,469.00 acting as immediate support. Momentum readings from MACD and RSI remain constructive, while ADX reflects low trend intensity. Multiple oscillators — including Stoch RSI, CCI, and BBP — register overbought, and BBP highlights persistent buying activity throughout the session. The Awesome Oscillator confirms the ongoing upward trend, though the combination of an opening gap up and sustained trading near session highs, along with overbought signals, raises the risk of a near-term pause or minor pullback.

Sideways bias persists as technical support underpins upside potential

For the coming week, DAX is expected to trade within a volatility band of 24,800–25,600, reflecting typical price fluctuation. The baseline expectation is for the index to oscillate sideways inside this range, with a moderately higher likelihood of further gains supported by key technical indicators. A decisive move above 25,600 would open the door to fresh highs as momentum persists, while a drop below 24,800 would increase the chances of a corrective move toward the next lower supports.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, believes the DAX Index is demonstrating robust momentum above key technical markers. He sees persistent buying activity and constructive signals from multiple oscillators, though overbought readings suggest a near-term pause is possible. The analyst's outlook remains confidently positive, with further gains likely if momentum persists within the 24,800–25,600 range. "As long as DAX holds above 24,800, I expect buyers to maintain control and see a possible breakout toward new highs if 25,600 is cleared."

Earlier, analysts noted that easing geopolitical tensions and declining oil prices were fostering a more constructive outlook for European equities including the DAX. The current technical strength and persistent buyer momentum now reinforce this positive stance, but traders should closely monitor for potential short-term pullbacks given overbought signals and watch for a decisive move above 25,600 as the trigger for renewed upside.

Source of Data: DAX Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.