Can TELUS stock extend gains as trading stays above short-term averages?
TELUS (T) stock is trading at C$14.98, up 1.97% on the day. The price currently sits above its short- and medium-term moving averages, indicating underlying bullish momentum in the near term.
Highlights
- TELUS exhibits short- and medium-term bullish momentum, trading above key moving averages on the hourly chart.
- Long-term sentiment remains bearish as the price stays below the major daily moving average, moderating the near-term upside.
- Price is expected to range between C$14.75 and C$15.21 over the next 2–3 days, with a 71% probability of an upward move.
Upward bias capped by neutral long-term momentum signals
T is trading above the MA-20 at C$14.85 and the MA-50 at C$14.81 on the H1 timeframe. However, it remains below the MA-200 at C$18.25 on the daily chart. Immediate support is established by the Ichimoku Kijun at C$14.82. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 57.85. Both the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Bull/Bear Power indicate growing buying pressure over the short term, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Average Directional Index (ADX), Stochastic RSI, and Awesome Oscillator remain neutral, highlighting the absence of a decisive momentum shift beneath today's constructive price action.
High upward probability as consolidation expected in set range
Over the next 2–3 trading days, T is expected to fluctuate within a typical volatility band of C$14.75 to C$15.21. Probability for an upward move is high at 71%, with a 29% chance of a downward move. The most likely scenario is consolidation within this corridor; a break above resistance could see the price test the upper end, while a move below support would expose it to the lower bound of the range.
Earlier, analysts noted that TELUS faced persistent selling pressure and heightened concern over the sustainability of its dividend amid bearish technical momentum. The current technical setup suggests that a sustained move above the MA-200 could be pivotal for altering medium-term sentiment, making it a critical level for investors to monitor in upcoming sessions.
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