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Yuriy Matso: Margin debt reaches record $1.30 trillion, leverage rises but below previous peaks
Yuriy Matso highlights that margin debt has reached a new record of $1.30 trillion, up 53% year over year.
However, Matso points out that previous margin debt peaks saw even higher year-over-year increases, including 80% in 2000, 63% in 2007, and 72% in 2021. Matso suggests that while leverage is growing, it has not yet reached a climax, and typically an 'all in' surge precedes major market tops.
Matso has recently observed a renewed divergence between the S&P 500 index and the percentage of its stocks trading above the 200-day moving average, according to a recent note. He also reported that the Gemini strategy reached a new equity peak as momentum stocks continued to rise in the market, as detailed in a previous update. These developments reflect Matso's ongoing tracking of leverage and participation metrics.
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