Probability rose from 40% to 60% in betting markets, Ivan Werning notes

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Anastasiia Chabaniuk

5 hours ago

Probability rose from 40% to 60% in betting markets, Ivan Werning notes — Betting market probability rose sharply

Ivan Werning addresses recent discussions around what is considered a decisive impact by clarifying that it means a significant effect on probability.

He provides an objective example, stating that estimated probability from betting markets rose from 40% to 60%.

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