UiPath stock resistance test: Breakout levels to watch

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UiPath jumps 4.9% to $10.7 today

Highlights

UiPath has lowered Q2 revenue guidance to $395–$400 million, implying a 5% sequential decline in top-line growth.
The revised outlook reflects operational headwinds and challenges in new order inflows, pressuring investor confidence in company momentum.
Technically, PATH trades under key moving averages with bearish momentum; price expected to range between $9.63 and $11.77, skewed to downside risk.

Guidance cut tempers growth outlook amid client adoption challenges

UiPath Inc. has issued second-quarter revenue guidance in the range of $395 million to $400 million, with the midpoint representing a roughly 5% decrease compared to first-quarter revenue, according to Ts2. This downward revision in near-term expectations signals the company is encountering headwinds in securing new orders or seeing slower client adoption, which may affect market sentiment and investor confidence in its growth outlook. While the revised guidance introduces a note of caution, it serves as a concrete signal of the operational challenges currently faced by the company.

Bearish momentum dominates as technical indicators diverge

On the technical front, PATH is below the MA-20, MA-50, and the long-term MA-200. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $11.33 now represents immediate resistance. Momentum indicators are negative: MACD signals a strong sell, ADX remains in sell mode, and RSI prints 40.84, also indicating selling conditions. Stochastic RSI, in contrast, signals overbought, while CCI stands neutral, highlighting a divergence among oscillators. Notably, Bull/Bear Power reads buy, suggesting intraday buyer strength despite otherwise bearish signals and high session volatility.

Bearish bias persists as resistance and support levels define path

Over the next several days, PATH is expected to trade within a band of $9.63 to $11.77, reflecting typical volatility relative to current levels. Model scenarios assign a 32% probability to a bullish move and a 68% likelihood of further downside, with baseline expectations for the price to stabilize in this corridor. A clear break above immediate resistance would be needed to activate a bullish scenario, while a stable decline below support could extend near-term losses.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees persistent technical and fundamental headwinds for UiPath Inc. The revised revenue guidance and bearish momentum suggest continued pressure. Sentiment remains fragile, and downside risk dominates in the current range. "Until UiPath price convincingly reclaims $11.33, I remain cautious and avoid chasing upside."

Earlier, analysts noted that persistent selling pressure kept UiPath's technical outlook bearish despite some signs of underlying business growth. The latest guidance reduction and ongoing negative momentum reinforce caution, making a decisive break above $11.33 or below $9.63 the key signal for the next directional move.

Source of Data: PATH Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.