Tilray Brands reports net loss of $40 million: Will TLRY avoid deeper losses?

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Tilray drops 3.53% today to $3.41

Highlights

Tilray Brands posted record quarterly net revenue of $257.1 million for fiscal 2027 first quarter, up 23% year-over-year due to growth in beverages from the BrewDog acquisition.
The company reported a net loss of $40 million but achieved a 35% increase in gross profit to $77.5 million, with gains in international cannabis and EMEA revenue.
Shares of Tilray closed at $3.41 after falling 3.53%, remain under strong selling pressure, and are forecast to trade in a $3.21 to $3.64 range with a high probability of further downside.

Overseas revenue growth offsets losses as sentiment stays pressured

Tilray Brands reported record fiscal 2027 first-quarter net revenue of $257.1 million, up 23% year-over-year, driven primarily by growth in its beverage business following the BrewDog acquisition, according to Pulse2. Despite this topline expansion, the company posted a net loss of $40 million and reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA guidance, highlighting ongoing expense pressures and a focus on profitability. Gross profit rose by 35% to $77.5 million, while increased international cannabis and EMEA revenues pointed to a continued shift toward more profitable overseas markets, as noted by Americanbankingnews. These operational gains have not prevented the broader decline in Tilray's share price, as current market conditions exert further selling pressure.

Persistent downside momentum as key averages and signals align bearish

On the technical side, TLRY is trading below the MA-20 at $3.59 and MA-50 at $3.65 on the H1 timeframe, with price also well beneath the MA-200 at $5.96 on the daily chart. Resistance for the short term is indicated by the Ichimoku Kijun at $3.61. Momentum indicators remain overwhelmingly negative, with MACD issuing a Strong Sell, ADX in Sell, and RSI at 42.71 pointing to a Sell bias. The Stochastic RSI is Overbought and CCI is Neutral, reflecting mixed signals among oscillators, while Bull/Bear Power suggests minor buying interest against an otherwise dominant selling backdrop.

Elevated downside risk persists as resistance caps rebound prospects

Looking ahead to the next two to three trading sessions, the most probable scenario is for TLRY to consolidate within the $3.21 to $3.64 band, consistent with its recent volatility. The probability of a short-term upward move remains very low (less than 20%), while downside risk remains elevated at more than 80%. A clear break above $3.61–$3.64 would be needed to trigger a bullish scenario, whereas a move below the $3.21 support zone would likely prompt further selling.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Tilray showing operational improvement but facing persistent downside momentum. Despite record revenue and profit margin gains, he remains cautious due to the sustained net loss and negative technical indicators. The price cannot break above key resistance and ongoing selling pressure dominates. "Until TLRY reclaims $3.61, I view any bounce as a short-lived pause within a broader downtrend."

Previously it was reported that Tilray faced ongoing technical weakness and elevated downside risk as declining core cannabis revenues offset gains in its beverage segment. The latest trading action confirms this negative outlook, with persistent selling pressure and a narrow consolidation range underscoring $3.21 as the critical support level to watch for signs of further declines.

Source of Data: TLRY Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.