Technical Analysis and Market Modeling by Chris Ciovacco

Chris Ciovacco is founder and president of Ciovacco Capital Management, an asset management firm based in Atlanta, Georgia. Since 1999, Ciovacco has authored more than 500 public macro reports, with a focus on equity, commodity, and bond markets. His primary contribution to crypto relevance lies in cross-asset technical frameworks, particularly correlations between Bitcoin and high-beta equity sectors during volatility clusters. In 2024, his firm published a six-part series on inflation-linked assets, where BTC was analyzed as a tactical hedge, alongside gold and energy equities.

Ciovacco’s technical breadth includes proprietary trend validation models, now followed by over 115,000 market participants. Public presentations over the last 18 months include ten macro webinars and weekly updates distributed through multiple financial media syndicates. Although not a crypto specialist, Ciovacco’s tools are cited in digital asset hedge fund strategy decks for regime transition forecasting and liquidity risk modeling. His long-standing market experience offers retail and institutional investors frameworks that bridge traditional risk management with digital volatility.

  • Igor Krasulya
  • 2 hours ago
Potential shift for U.S. stocks with new Fed chair, Chris Ciovacco examines
Chris Ciovacco questions whether the appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair could be a negative gamechanger for stocks. The tweet highlights a focus on how changes in central bank leadership ...
  • Oleg Tkachenko
  • 06.06.2026
Chris Ciovacco: S&P 500 gained after all seven previous signal triggers
Chris Ciovacco highlights that a particular signal has occurred seven times previously. In each instance, the S&P 500 ended higher a year later, with the average additional gain reported as 17.8 ...
  • Hlib Chabaniuk
  • 29.05.2026
Current chart is more constructive than Q1 2022, Chris Ciovacco notes
Chris Ciovacco compares the state of credit and stocks based on a chart posted on April 1, 2026. He observes that current conditions appear more constructive relative to the situation in Q1 2022, ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 23.05.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Stocks pause after eight weeks of gains
Chris Ciovacco questions whether stocks may be losing momentum following eight consecutive weeks of gains. The analysis includes charts and studies that explore the possibility that the market ...
  • Andreas Kristo
  • 19.05.2026
Treasuries IEF approach key support region, Chris Ciovacco notes
Chris Ciovacco highlights that Treasuries, specifically IEF, are currently testing the upper boundary of an important support region. He points out that this range, marked between points A and B, ...
  • Parshwa Turakhiya
  • 18.05.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Tech XLK could retrace to key Fibonacci support levels
Chris Ciovacco notes that if the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) experiences a normal retracement down to key Fibonacci levels—38.2%, 50.0%, or 61.8%—there would still be multiple ...
  • Olga Shendetskaya
  • 16.05.2026
Tech rally prompts comparisons and questions, Chris Ciovacco analyzes
Chris Ciovacco raises the question of whether the current technology sector rally has gone too far or is still in its early stages. Ciovacco shares historical comparisons and charts to provide ...
  • Hlib Chabaniuk
  • 11.05.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Average S&P 500 gain over next year was 30 percent historically
Chris Ciovacco highlights that, based on historical data, the average additional S&P 500 gain over the next year was 30 percent, with all historical cases showing higher performance. The ...
  • Dmytro Kharkov
  • 08.05.2026
Personal opinions often miss market realities, Chris Ciovacco notes
Chris Ciovacco, industry influencer, highlights the importance of relying on facts and market data instead of personal opinions, feelings, hopes, or beliefs when assessing the stock market. ...
  • Eugene Komchuk
  • 02.05.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Comparing 2026 to dot-com bubble in 2000
Chris Ciovacco, industry influencer, examines how 2026 compares to the bursting of the dot-com bubble in 2000. The analysis features details, charts, and scores to highlight similarities and ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 18.04.2026
Prospects for continued stock rally examined, Chris Ciovacco analyzes
A recent post by Chris Ciovacco raises the question of whether the stock market rally will continue. Ciovacco directs readers to charts and studies for further details on market ...
  • Yulia Slavina
  • 15.04.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Tech sector attempts breakout versus S&P 500
Technology stocks, represented by the XLK ETF, are attempting to break a multi-month downtrend relative to the S&P 500, according to Chris Ciovacco. The daily cloud indicator is also showing early ...
  • Andreas Kristo
  • 11.04.2026
Stock charts suggest a potential bottoming process, Chris Ciovacco examines
Chris Ciovacco explores whether stock charts are currently aligning to indicate a bottoming process in equities. The tweet raises questions about chart signals and their potential implications ...
  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 03.04.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Market focuses on possible lows, war duration, oil price outlook
Chris Ciovacco outlined several factors currently on investors’ minds, including the potential for a market low, how long the war may continue, and the future trajectory of oil prices. In his ...
  • Anastasiia Chabaniuk
  • 28.03.2026
Stock market shifts during 1990 Gulf War offer insights, Chris Ciovacco analyzes
Chris Ciovacco examines potential lessons investors can draw from the 1990 Gulf War when analyzing current stock market dynamics. The tweet references charts, scores, and detailed analysis to ...
  • Andrey Mastykin
  • 22.03.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Market seeks path to resolve Strait of Hormuz oil disruption
Markets are unlikely to return to a risk-on environment until the core issue—disruption of oil traffic in the Strait of Hormuz—shows signs of improvement. According to Chris Ciovacco, investor ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 20.03.2026
Institutional investors have been selling into early week gains, Chris Ciovacco notes
Over the past three weeks, gains posted earlier in the week have been met with selling pressure from institutions. Chris Ciovacco highlighted this persistent bias in recent market behavior, ...
  • Olga Shendetskaya
  • 18.03.2026
Chris Ciovacco: BKLN holds senior secured floating-rate loans from U.S. high-yield companies
BKLN, an exchange-traded fund, has exposure to senior secured, floating-rate bank loans issued by U.S. corporations with non-investment grade credit ratings, according to Chris Ciovacco. The ...
  • Andreas Kristo
  • 16.03.2026
S&P 500 posted 25.54% annualized returns when NDR sentiment fell below 41.5, Chris Ciovacco notes
NDR sentiment on March 12, 2026 was recorded at a highly pessimistic 28.89. Chris Ciovacco highlights that, in the period from 1995 to 2026, the S&P 500 achieved an annualized performance of ...
  • Yulia Slavina
  • 14.03.2026
Chris Ciovacco: Stagflation risk raises questions for secular bull market in stocks
Chris Ciovacco raises the question of whether stagflation could end the secular bull market in stocks. The tweet suggests concerns about the market's ability to sustain its long-term upward trend ...
  • Hlib Chabaniuk
  • 13.03.2026
S&P 500 ends 4.38 percent under its record, Chris Ciovacco notes
The S&P 500 closed at 6,672.62 on March 12, 2026, ending 4.38 percent below its all-time closing high of 6,978.60 set on January 27, 2026. Chris Ciovacco also pointed out the index sat 72.11 ...