Macro Investing and Risk Management by Keith McCullough

Keith McCullough is the founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, a macroeconomic research platform used by more than 2,000 institutional and high-net-worth clients globally. Formerly with Carlyle Blue Wave and Falconhenge Partners, McCullough launched Hedgeye in 2008 to promote transparency in investment research and develop proprietary risk models.

McCullough has commented extensively on crypto markets since 2017. While he sold his personal Bitcoin holdings in October 2020, citing macro momentum divergences, he continues to analyze digital assets through Hedgeye’s volatility-adjusted frameworks. In January 2025, he published a report covering a $2.5 billion forced liquidation in long BTC futures positions and used the event to emphasize systemic fragility and non-linear risk exposure.

As of mid-2025, McCullough’s firm does not issue token ratings or operate crypto funds, but his macro models frequently benchmark crypto against treasury yields, USD strength, and volatility indices. He remains a prominent voice warning of overleveraged behavior in DeFi and describes "crypto complacency" as a core risk factor in his public Risk Ranges series.

  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 29.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Hedgeye launches ADDS ETF to target companies before index inclusion
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, announced that Hedgeye Asset Management has launched ADDS, an active ETF designed to identify and invest in companies before they ...
  • Hlib Chabaniuk
  • 28.05.2026
Volume rate of change assessed against trade duration average, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, explains that he is measuring the rate of change in trading volume relative to the average volume over a specific trade duration. ...
  • Igor Krasulya
  • 26.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Track record in calling every major market crash since 2008
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, states that he has accurately called every major market crash since 2008, with timestamps to support his claims. McCullough emphasizes ...
  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 25.05.2026
Protecting net worth with better processes, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, emphasizes that the greatest privilege of his work is helping people identify better processes to safeguard their family net worth ...
  • Anastasiia Chabaniuk
  • 22.05.2026
Keith McCullough: U.S. equity sector signals diverge from broader macro trends
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observes that shifts in U.S. equity sector styles are occurring, while the broader global macro environment, including the U.S. dollar ...
  • Dmytro Kharkov
  • 21.05.2026
Russell 2000 IWM bounces 2.6% off range low, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted significant movement in the Russell 2000 index on the previous trading day. According to McCullough, IWM rebounded by ...
  • Dmytro Kharkov
  • 20.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Norway equity index hits all-time highs with 4.3% monthly gain
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights strong recent performance in Norway's equity market. The Norway index is up 4.3% over the last month and has reached all-time ...
  • Ashutosh Sureka
  • 19.05.2026
72 percent of stocks rose an average 1.8 percent, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observed that 72 percent of stocks ended the day in positive territory, averaging a 1.8 percent gain.He remarked that the upward ...
  • Igor Krasulya
  • 14.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Portfolio managers track Gamma and Throttle positions
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights that portfolio managers are aware of where Gamma and its Throttle are positioned. The comment emphasizes the importance of ...
  • Eugene Komchuk
  • 12.05.2026
Food and meat inflation climb to new highs, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights accelerating inflation in the 'food at home' category, driven by rising meats, poultry, fruits, and vegetables prices. ...
  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 11.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Copper surged 5.2 percent to a record high last week
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, reported that copper prices jumped 5.2 percent to reach an all-time high last week. The surge in copper, often referred to as Dr. ...
  • Ashutosh Sureka
  • 10.05.2026
Execution matters more than explanation in chaotic markets, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, emphasizes the importance of timing in financial markets, arguing that markets reward execution over explanation. He suggests that ...
  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 08.05.2026
Keith McCullough: 2Q 2026 macro themes focus on flation and stag-on-a-lag
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, released an update on macroeconomic themes for the second quarter of 2026. He highlighted 'flation now' and 'stag-on-a-lag' as the ...
  • Yulia Slavina
  • 07.05.2026
SPY volume accelerates to record highs during Quad2 cycle, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observed strong volume in SPY as it accelerated during yesterday's market squeeze to reach new all-time highs. McCullough emphasized ...
  • Oleg Tkachenko
  • 06.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Options market positions favor Apple, Nvidia, and Amazon over Meta and Microsoft
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights contrasting positions in the options market. He notes that the crowd currently holds long positions in Meta and Microsoft, ...
  • Iryna Sazhynska
  • 05.05.2026
54 of Nasdaq 100 record 50 percent earnings growth, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observes that 54 of the 100 companies in the Nasdaq 100 index have reported an impressive year-on-year earnings acceleration of 50 ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 03.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Long Bitcoin position demonstrates successful Quad Shift
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted the performance of a long Bitcoin position as evidence of a strategic Quad Shift made in April. He noted that Bitcoin is ...
  • Mikhail Vnuchkov
  • 02.05.2026
Top ETFs listed in ETF Pro and Portfolio Solutions, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights the top five ETFs as featured in ETF Pro and Portfolio Solutions products. The mention indicates a daily update or ranking ...
  • Eugene Komchuk
  • 01.05.2026
Keith McCullough: Market move driven by $251 billion in forced 401(k) flows
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, draws attention to the significant role of market flows. He emphasizes that recent market movements have been supported by an estimated ...
  • Igor Krasulya
  • 30.04.2026
SPX risk range shows limited downside and upside to all-time highs, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observed that his SPX Risk Range Signal registered only a -1.2% downside following post-market activity. McCullough also indicated ...
  • Andrey Mastykin
  • 28.04.2026
Keith McCullough: Markets move independently of major AI headlines
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, discusses how market dynamics do not rely solely on prominent headlines such as those from OpenAI. He emphasizes that market behavior ...