Macro Investing and Risk Management by Keith McCullough

Keith McCullough is the founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, a macroeconomic research platform used by more than 2,000 institutional and high-net-worth clients globally. Formerly with Carlyle Blue Wave and Falconhenge Partners, McCullough launched Hedgeye in 2008 to promote transparency in investment research and develop proprietary risk models.

McCullough has commented extensively on crypto markets since 2017. While he sold his personal Bitcoin holdings in October 2020, citing macro momentum divergences, he continues to analyze digital assets through Hedgeye’s volatility-adjusted frameworks. In January 2025, he published a report covering a $2.5 billion forced liquidation in long BTC futures positions and used the event to emphasize systemic fragility and non-linear risk exposure.

As of mid-2025, McCullough’s firm does not issue token ratings or operate crypto funds, but his macro models frequently benchmark crypto against treasury yields, USD strength, and volatility indices. He remains a prominent voice warning of overleveraged behavior in DeFi and describes "crypto complacency" as a core risk factor in his public Risk Ranges series.

  • Igor Krasulya
  • Yesterday
Keith McCullough: Quantamental strategy spots rotation to healthcare, staples, and software stocks
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights that his community has held select stocks for the past 59 to 67 trading days. McCullough attributes this holding period ...
  • Andrey Mastykin
  • 17.07.2026
Nine of eleven sectors gained, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights a Quad4 momentum crash in the sectors most widely owned by investors. According to McCullough, nine out of eleven sectors ...
  • Eugene Komchuk
  • 15.07.2026
Keith McCullough: China equity market falls 3.4 percent in past 3 months
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, comments on recent market performance in China. McCullough highlights that China declined overnight and has fallen 3.4 percent over the ...
  • Olga Shendetskaya
  • 14.07.2026
More than $6.5 billion in forced SOXL selling amplifies market pressure, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted significant selling in the semiconductor sector. According to McCullough, more than $6.5 billion in forced selling was ...
  • Oleg Tkachenko
  • 13.07.2026
Keith McCullough: U.S. equity consensus reaches most bullish in six months
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observes that U.S. equity market consensus has returned to its most bullish stance in six months. This assessment highlights a ...
  • Yulia Slavina
  • 09.07.2026
Portfolio guidance stands out today, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, urges followers to pay attention to the portfolio message in today’s Top 3 Things update. McCullough highlights the significance of ...
  • Mikhail Vnuchkov
  • 08.07.2026
Keith McCullough: Retail investor sentiment shifted sharply from strong gains to modest returns
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observes a dramatic change in retail investor sentiment. He points out that market participants who initially saw gains of +22% for the ...
  • Eugene Komchuk
  • 07.07.2026
Nasdaq is the sole major U.S. index flashing yellow volatility lights, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observes that Nasdaq is still the only major U.S. equity index signaling heightened volatility, referring to the index as flashing ...
  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 02.07.2026
Keith McCullough: Insurance and healthcare stocks rise but overall losses reported
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, reported that despite a strong performance from insurance and healthcare stocks, overall losses were recorded for the day. He noted ...
  • Oleg Tkachenko
  • 01.07.2026
Leveraged ETF posts drop with over 585 million shares traded, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, questions the risks taken by retail investors using leveraged ETFs. He highlights a 3x levered ETF that declined a further 13 percent in ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 30.06.2026
Keith McCullough: Nano stocks outperform as overall gains remain modest
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, reports that his portfolio saw small gains today, with nano stocks leading the performance. He also referenced the availability of ...
  • Parshwa Turakhiya
  • 28.06.2026
Investing Ideas product delivers consistent short strategies, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights the Investing Ideas product as a source for longer-term short strategies. McCullough states that the product has ...
  • Parshwa Turakhiya
  • 27.06.2026
Keith McCullough: Financial engineering described as major scam enabled by CNBC
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, criticizes what he calls financial "engineering" and labels it one of the great scams of the time. He alleges this practice was ...
  • Parshwa Turakhiya
  • 26.06.2026
Healthcare gains and XLY declines drove results, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted a positive trading day based on his positions. He indicated being long on the healthcare sector (XLV) and short on ...
  • Olga Shendetskaya
  • 24.06.2026
Keith McCullough: Consensus hedge funds were short housing before market movement
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, points out that many consensus hedge funds were positioned short on housing prior to the latest market move. This observation ...
  • Ivan Andriyenko
  • 23.06.2026
Holding DRAM at minimum position size, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, commented on his recent trading activity, pointing out that he did not increase his holdings of DRAM and that it remains at his ...
  • Olga Shendetskaya
  • 22.06.2026
Keith McCullough: High beta momentum remains strong despite Quad4 risks
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observes that growth momentum continues to dominate in the market, even as Quad4 risks rise. He highlights that high beta momentum is ...
  • Dmytro Kharkov
  • 21.06.2026
USD gains 1.7% and Bitcoin falls 18.3%, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, draws attention to recent market performance, highlighting the U.S. dollar's climb to new cycle highs with a 1.7% gain in the last ...
  • Ashutosh Sureka
  • 20.06.2026
Keith McCullough: Leveraged market structure driving momentum crowding
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, draws attention to the current leveraged market structure and the increasing crowding into momentum strategies. McCullough's latest ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 18.06.2026
Strategy relies on tracking green and red signals for Bitcoin trades, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, outlined his trading method for Bitcoin. He stated that his strategy involves going long on Bitcoin when signals are green and taking ...
  • Yulia Slavina
  • 16.06.2026
Keith McCullough: Trading volume surged during recent Quad1 rally
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted that trading volume accelerated during yesterday's Quad1 peace ramp. The comment suggests notable market activity amid ...