Macro Investing and Risk Management by Keith McCullough

Keith McCullough is the founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, a macroeconomic research platform used by more than 2,000 institutional and high-net-worth clients globally. Formerly with Carlyle Blue Wave and Falconhenge Partners, McCullough launched Hedgeye in 2008 to promote transparency in investment research and develop proprietary risk models.

McCullough has commented extensively on crypto markets since 2017. While he sold his personal Bitcoin holdings in October 2020, citing macro momentum divergences, he continues to analyze digital assets through Hedgeye’s volatility-adjusted frameworks. In January 2025, he published a report covering a $2.5 billion forced liquidation in long BTC futures positions and used the event to emphasize systemic fragility and non-linear risk exposure.

As of mid-2025, McCullough’s firm does not issue token ratings or operate crypto funds, but his macro models frequently benchmark crypto against treasury yields, USD strength, and volatility indices. He remains a prominent voice warning of overleveraged behavior in DeFi and describes "crypto complacency" as a core risk factor in his public Risk Ranges series.

  • Alena Volkova
  • 3 hours ago
Brent Oil position maintained amid accelerating inflation nowcast, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, Keith McCullough, stated that he remains long Brent Oil and reported that his Street High Inflation Nowcast continues to ...
  • Pavlo Kot
  • Yesterday
Keith McCullough: Silver falls 14.5 percent over past month
Silver declined by 14.5 percent in the past month. Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, stated that he remains short on the metal, mentioning the lack of commentary from ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 20.10.2026
KOSPI resumes decline and is down 39.1% from its peak, Keith McCullough notes
The KOSPI index fell another 3.7% overnight, closing below last week’s lows and marking a total decline of 39.1% from its recent peak. Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk ...
  • Yaroslav Dmytrenko
  • 19.10.2026
Keith McCullough: Indonesia stock market drops 3.6 percent overnight, down 22.4 percent in a month
Indonesia's stock market experienced another significant decline, falling 3.6 percent overnight and reaching a 22.4 percent drop over the past month. Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye ...
  • Mykhailo Ihnatenko
  • 16.10.2026
Multiple trend breaks observed across stocks, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, said there were numerous trend breaks in the market today and announced that he has sent out the Signal Strength Stocks ...
  • Mykhailo Ihnatenko
  • 15.10.2026
Keith McCullough: CNBC-type retail investor down 9.3% YTD
Retail investors characterized as following CNBC-type strategies are down 9.3% year-to-date. Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted this performance figure in a ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 14.10.2026
Shifting from bonds to gold and silver pays off, Keith McCullough notes
People who moved from bonds to gold, silver, and similar investments are now receiving significant payouts, according to Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk ...
  • Alena Volkova
  • 13.10.2026
Keith McCullough: Small cap index falls 0.5 percent, Quad2 drawdown reaches 8.9 percent from cycle peak
The small cap index declined by 0.5 percent in the most recent session, bringing its Quad2 drawdown to 8.9 percent from its cycle peak. Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 12.10.2026
Accelerating volume on up days signals bullish trade and trend, Keith McCullough notes
Volume continues to accelerate on up market days as SPY and QQQ both signal a bullish trade and trend. Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, shared this ...
  • Yulia Slavina
  • 09.10.2026
Keith McCullough: Energy Pro product maintains positive stance on MPC
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights the ongoing strong performance of their new Energy Pro product, which continues to maintain a long position on MPC. This ...
  • Mikhail Vnuchkov
  • 07.10.2026
Hedging timing and incremental approaches impact outcomes, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, raises questions about how investors hedge and the timing of their hedging strategies. He suggests that in complex market environments, ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 06.10.2026
Keith McCullough: AI bubble risks still challenge U.S. growth optimism
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, questions the logic of maintaining bullish positions on U.S. growth assets while being aware of the significant risks tied to an ...
  • Mikhail Vnuchkov
  • 05.10.2026
GTLB advances 53 percent in signal strength ranking, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlights that GTLB is currently the seventh-ranked Signal Strength Stock by time held, delivering a 53 percent gain for Hedgeye ...
  • Ksenia Gerey
  • 04.10.2026
Keith McCullough: Difference between beta and volatility in hedged and non-hedged ETFs
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, asks for an explanation of the difference in beta and volatility between hedged and non-hedged ETFs. McCullough specifically addresses ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 03.10.2026
GDX falls 17 percent since August, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, points out that GDX has declined by 17 percent since August. He states that despite a recent uptick, the performance has not altered the ...
  • Pavlo Kot
  • 02.10.2026
Keith McCullough: Quad2 long only account and XLK reach all-time highs
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, highlighted in his latest update that his firm's Quad2 Long Only Account achieved an all-time high. He noted this performance ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 01.10.2026
Q4 macro themes include AI bubble cockpit, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, announced a live presentation of Hedgeye's Q4 Macro Themes, set for 11AM ET. The event will introduce The AI Bubble Cockpit, ...
  • Hanna Syniavska
  • 30.09.2026
Keith McCullough: Short positions held as market volatility breaks out
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, notes that he implements short positions in markets like the Treasury Bond Market when volatility rises on his firm's trend analysis. ...
  • Mykhailo Ihnatenko
  • 29.09.2026
S&P 500 records 77 days of low volatility, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, points out that the S&P 500 has experienced 77 consecutive trading sessions without a 2 percent daily move in either direction. He ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 28.09.2026
Keith McCullough: Friday market bounce occurred on falling volume and weak breadth
Keith McCullough, founder / CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, observed that Friday's market rebound happened despite slowing trading volume and persistent negative breadth in market trends. This ...
  • Oksana Koneva
  • 27.09.2026
Dashboard earns phenomenal feedback for ticker analysis, Keith McCullough notes
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO at Hedgeye Risk Management, reports that feedback on their newly launched Dashboard has been extremely positive. The tool summarizes work and pinpoints key ...