Alibaba (BABA) stock forecast for 2024, 2025, 2030

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Alibaba (BABA) is one of China’s largest companies operating in the e-commerce segment. The company owns B2B electronic trading platforms and retail trading online platforms. The corporation is also developing cloud technologies (owner of the world’s largest cloud computing infrastructure. The company has been repeatedly ranked in the Top 10 in terms of market capitalization, and Top 100 by net income. The key competitors of the company include Tencent, eBay, Amazon. Alibaba shares are quotes on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

1

Current BABA stock price $68.46.

2

According to analytical forecasts, the price of BABA stocks may reach $74.03 by the end of 2024, and it is expected to be - $95 by the end of 2029.

3

Based on technical analysis indicators, the recommendation for the 1H (one-hour) timeframe is Strong Sell, and for the 1D (one-day) timeframe - Strong Sell.

The period of 2016-2022 is described by unstable growth of the stock price with deep drawdowns during certain periods. The all-time high was reached in October 2020 at the level of over USD 300 per share. In the course of stagnation that followed, the stock price dropped to USD 70-75, the level of 2016. Some analysts believe that the Alibaba stock is at the price bottom temporarily. The e-commerce segment continues to actively grow. Many private businesses move to online trading, thereby reducing trading costs. Alibaba owned by the AliExpress corporation is one of the most popular platforms in Asia and the territories of the former Soviet countries. Once the global economy recovers, the BABA stock could rise again, which is why now is the best time to buy. How accurate are these long-term forecasts?


TU analysts have prepared a full review of the company’s microeconomic statistics: financial statements, multipliers, sentiment indicators. You will also find here short and long-term forecasts based on technical and fundamental analysis and analyst surveys. This information will help you build a trading strategy and account for potential risks in a timely manner.

NOTE!

On this page, you will find the latest information about current prices, updated and new forecasts for short and long-term intervals:

  • Asset quotes are updated every minute.
  • Price chart is updated every minute.
  • Technical indicator data is updated according to the time frame. For example, on M5, the data is updated every 5 minutes.
  • Medium and long-term forecasts are updated every hour.
  • Financial reporting data is updated quarterly.

Data for fundamental analysis of Alibaba stock

In this section you will learn about the basic statistics of Alibaba and other data for fundamental analysis. The section provides key financial indicators of the company as well as main multipliers.


Basic indicators contain information about the company that provides a general idea of its operation and position in the market.



Basic indicators
Industry
Internet Retail
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Number of employees
219.26K
Latest dividend payment date
2023-12-20
Dividend amount
1
Market cap
180.9B
Net income
10.72B
52-week low
66.63
52-week high
103.24
Beta coefficient
0.47


Key financial indicators of Alibaba contain general information about the financial condition of the company. For analysis, current values are compared to the values of previous periods, forecasts and indicators of competitors.



Financial indicators
Gross profit
318.99B
Net income
10.72B
Accounts payable
275.95B
Accounts receivable
-
EPS
5.76
Long-term debt
139.57B


Multipliers are coefficients, derivative financial indicators that allow for assessing financial stability, the degree of undervaluation, overvaluation, investment attractiveness of a company, company’s performance, and forecasting an increase or decline in the value of shares.



Multipliers
EV
158.94B
EV/R
1.24
P/E
13.47
EV/EBITDA
6.32
EBITDA
46.04B
P/S
0.2
Profit margin
0.11
P/B
0.18
Operating margin
0.12
Total debt
27.49B
Annual revenue per share
363.64
Debt to equity ratio
17.38
ROE
0.08
Current liquidity coefficient
1.8
ROA
0.04
Ratio of short positions to the total shares in circulation
-
Forward P/E
8.24
Forward annual dividend yield
0.06
PEG
8.24
Operating cash flow
26.4B

Alibaba stock forecast for today, BABA signals for 1 week

Short-term BABA price forecast (signals) are prepared by Traders Union based on the technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe that you need to learn the BABA forecast for today.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different time frames. If you want to buy Alibaba (BABA) and hold the stock for longer than one week, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions!

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Alibaba Stock forecast for 1 year. What will the BABA price be?

In this section, you will learn the following analyst forecasts:


  • Projected stock value
  • Quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS) forecast.
  • Quarterly and annual sales volume forecast.
  • Projected assessment of capitalization growth rates.

The forecasts are made based on surveys of top managers of companies and analysts. Also, current financial indicators of companies and projected indicators were taken into account.

Recommendations of analysts
Strong Buy 68
Buy 104
Hold 21
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1
Overall recommendation Buy
Projected stock value for six months, USD
Current stock price 68.46
Highest projected stock price 146.09
Lowest projected stock price 80.05
Average projected stock price 108.04
Quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS) forecast, USD
Parameter Current quarter forecast 12-month forecast
Maximum forecast 2.28 9.89
Minimum forecast 2.08 7.22
Parameter Current quarter forecast 12-month forecast
Average forecast 2.18 8.78
Average forecast value 1 year ago 2.38 8.74
Quarterly and annual sales volume forecast (overall profit)
Parameter Current quarter forecast 12-month forecast
Maximum forecast, USD 34.7B 151.5B
Minimum forecast, USD 33.9B 136.3B
Parameter Current quarter forecast 12-month forecast
Average forecast, USD 34.3B 140.7B
Projected sales growth in % to the previous period - 8
Projected assessment of capitalization growth rates
Current quarter forecast, % 2
Actual 5-year price increase (average value in % for 1 year) 6.01
12-month forecast, % 14.4
5-year forecast (average value in % for 1 year) 1.4

Indicator Based Technical Analysis of BABA/USD

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the Alibaba (BABA/USD) price. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

BABA/USD Chart Online

What Alibaba price will be in 5 years and 12 years – prediction by years

According to the Traders Union long-term price forecast Alibaba (BABA) can reach $74.03 by 2025, $95 by 2030, $115.98 by 2034.

Year Price in the middle of the year Price at the end of the year
2024 $72.18 $74.03
2025 $75.87 $77.81
2026 $79.75 $81.79
2027 $83.83 $85.98
2028 $88.12 $90.38
2029 $92.63 $95
2030 $97.37 $99.86
2031 $102.35 $104.97
2032 $107.59 $110.34
2033 $113.09 $115.98
2034 $118.87 $121.91
2035 $124.95 $128.15

Alternative long-term price forecasts by independent analytical platforms

Here, you will find long-term stock price forecasts provided by independent analytical resources. The price forecasting methodologies they use vary, which is why the forecasts may differ substantially from each other. We recommend focusing on the average price.


According to Coin Price Forecast analysts, the Alibaba stock price forecast for the next 10-12 years is as follows:


Year Mid-Year Year-End Tod/End,%
2024 $79.38 $81.77 +11%
2025 $87.16 $99.35 +34%
2026 $99.83 $103.04 +39%
2027 $105.22 $117.06 +58%
2028 $128.77 $140.36 +90%
2029 $151.84 $158.93 +115%
2030 $169.93 $173.43 +135%
2031 $177.08 $180.89 +145%
2032 $184.87 $189.02 +156%
2033 $193.37 $197.92 +168%
2034 $202.69 $207.69 +181%
2035 $212.95 $218.48 +196%

According to the price forecast by Walletinvestor analysts, the Alibaba stock will be priced at $56.746 at the beginning of 2025, and $0.000000061 at the beginning of 2028.


According to the price forecast by Long Forecast analysts, the Alibaba stock will be priced at $80.27 at the beginning of 2025.

What Alibaba (BABA) news can influence the price in the future?

The attitude of China and U.S. investors towards the status of the corporation is the key factor that caused the stock price to fall by more than 70% within two years. In the past few years, China and the U.S. have been waging trade wars resulting in an increase of duties and a drop in the mutual turnover. Alibaba is one of the largest e-commerce platforms in China, but its shares circulate in the U.S. stock market.


The key reasons for the stock price decline include the following:


  • a number of restrictive measures adopted by Chinese regulators in respect to technology companies (antimonopoly law, personal data security, online content distribution);
  • problem of the corporation related to a leakage of personal data of some 1 billion period from the cloud division in 2022;
  • refusal of Chinese authorities to allow U.S. auditors access to the platform that carries a risk of subsequent delisting;
  • monopoly charges with a subsequent fine in the amount of USD 2.8 billion.

The key problems of the corporation are related to the pressure of China on the platform, following criticism of the government’s actions by its founder Jack Ma, and the shaky situation of the company in the U.S., which was recommended to be regarded as unreliable.

Positive news that could spur stock growth include revenue and net income growth, weakening of pressure on the corporation by China, and launch of new products.

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Price prediction methodology

The following tools and instruments were used for making the prediction:


Basic instruments of technical analysis. The forecast relies on basic technical indicators. The analysis was performed mostly on medium and long-term time frames for more accurate results.

Chart analysis. Analysis comprises a review of key levels of support, resistance, trend lines, as well as patterns formed on different time frames.

Statistical tools help evaluate a probability of a fundamental factor that could impact the price, its nature and intensity of impact.

Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis; modeling, adaptive forecasting methods.

Expert opinions and consensus forecast.

NOTE!

This forecast is based on current information and data of previous periods. Emergence of strong fundamental factors capable of radically changing the overall market trend and subsequent price trend is possible. The forecasts are updated regularly based on the latest data.

This article is created for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Be aware of the high volatility of cryptocurrencies and consider these risks when making investment decisions.

FAQs

Why do the BABA analytical forecasts differ?

Analysts use different forecasting models, which is why the results may strongly differ.

Will Alibaba (BABA) cost $500?

The majority of analysts do not forecast the Alibaba price to grow to $500 in the next 2-5 years.

When is the good time to buy Alibaba stock?

You can use the TU signals that are based on indicators. In that case, you chances for a successful buy will increase to an extent. However, even in this case you should not forget about the rules of risk management. You should not buy Alibaba stock using borrowed funds, or invest more than you can afford to lose.

Will Alibaba stock only grow in the future?

The long-term price forecasts for this stock remain positive, however nobody can give you a guarantee. The price can both increase and drop.