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CME Group reached record $207 billion open interest after muted trading session

CME Group reached record $207 billion open interest after muted trading session
CME Group stock falls to $281.29

CME Group reported that asset managers hit an all-time high of $207 billion in gross notional open interest in August. Separately, the stock edges lower on the day, trading at $281.29.

CME price prediction
24H 0.25%
$304.81
48H -0.05%
$303.92
7D -0.24%
$303.32
1M 12.36%
$341.64
3M 14.7%
$348.76
6M 26.29%
$384.01
12M 12.75%
$342.84
Detailed
Current price: $304.06 -2.25 0.73%
Closed 11/03
Daily range 300.96 Arrow from to Icon 306.52
Weekly range 291.67 Arrow from to Icon 306.52
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Highlights

  • Asset managers reached a record $207 billion in gross notional open interest on CME Group in August, up 20% year over year.
  • CME Group stock trades at $281.29 and 24.2 times trailing earnings, with a forward multiple of 22.1.
  • Among 64 analysts, 33 rate CME Group stock a buy and 12 recommend selling, with the latest JP Morgan target at $250.

Asset managers reached a record $207 billion in gross notional open interest on CME Group in August, marking a 20% increase year over year. The company said this surge points to a continued shift of large-scale risk into its liquid and capital-efficient markets. Of the 64 analysts covering the stock, 33 rate it a buy, while 12 recommend selling.

Bullish structure holds as overbought signals challenge further gains

CME Group stock started the session with a gap down from $282.05 to $278.86 and has since retraced part of that move. The price remains above its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, preserving a bullish daily structure. RSI at 60.7 is approaching overbought territory, which can make further gains harder to sustain.

Upside odds dominate as weekly trend stays constructive

Traders should watch for a close above $289.03 to confirm buyers are willing to extend the move, or a drop below $278.79 to show rejection. Shares opened with a move down from $282.05 to $278.86 before reclaiming some of those losses during the session. Even so, over the next five trading days, there is a 79% probability of upside versus a 21% chance of downside within an expected range of $275.32 to $287.25. The recent move lower across the past week is not yet confirmed. On the weekly chart, the longer-term picture remains constructive.

Previously it was reported that CME Group surpassed a milestone in AUD/USD futures open interest, reflecting robust activity and liquidity across its derivatives products. The new record in asset manager open interest further strengthens CME's leadership in institutional risk transfer, with the prevailing scenario warranting attention to potential shifts should the price move beyond recently tested support or resistance levels.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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