+7.97% for Pi as volatility rises after protocol rollout and token unlock
Pi (PI) is currently trading at $0.1901, which is below the SMA-20 ($0.1995) and well below the SMA-200 ($0.2242) but above the SMA-50 ($0.1763). This positioning suggests short- and long-term pressure from sellers but some medium-term support near the 50-day average; the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.2270 is immediate resistance.
Highlights
- Pi Network's mainnet upgrade to Protocol 20 adds smart contract functionality based on Stellar, expanding ecosystem capabilities.
- A 16 million token unlock and Kraken listing support ongoing efforts to increase Pi Network's utility and liquidity.
- Recent price action shows PI fluctuating within a $0.1785–$0.2206 range, with technical signals favoring sideways movement and potential for near-term declines.
Ecosystem utility expands as smart contracts launch with major upgrades
The Pi Network Core Team has completed the mainnet upgrade to Protocol 20, introducing smart contract capabilities built on the Stellar blockchain framework. This development enables decentralized applications and expanded services within the Pi ecosystem. The recent rollout is also accompanied by a 16 million token unlock and a new listing on Kraken, supporting progress toward ecosystem utility and feature expansion.
Momentum divergence emerges as intraday volatility intensifies
Momentum signals on the D1 timeframe are mixed: MACD gives a strong buy, while ADX is also bullish with a reading above 31, indicating firm trend strength. However, RSI and CCI are both in sell territory (RSI at 44.98, CCI at -70), and Stoch RSI is oversold, showing near-term weakness, while BBP at -0.0160 points to ongoing seller dominance intraday. The strong advance today (up 7.97%) came without a gap between sessions, with price now near the daily high in a volatile session. Intraday, the market shows renewed strength after the open but oscillators and momentum signals diverge, highlighting a lack of consensus across indicators.
Near-term downside risk grows as probability of rally fades
Looking ahead, the expected trading range over the next five days is $0.1785 – $0.2206, consistent with typical volatility and keeping the current price within this corridor. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), making a near-term decline the more likely outcome, given bearish signals from W1 MACD and RSI. Baseline scenario: PI fluctuates sideways between support and resistance. Bullish case: a breach above $0.2270 would open the path toward $0.2206 and higher, while a move below $0.1785 could trigger further downside toward previous support levels.
Earlier, analysts noted that Pi Network continued to face persistent seller pressure and a lack of clear bullish reversal despite ongoing ecosystem development. The latest technical and on-chain updates reinforce this cautious outlook, making near-term downside risk the primary scenario while traders should remain attentive to the $0.1785 support for confirmation of stabilization or further weakness.
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