XRP price holds $1.35 as legal overhang fades and ETF trade stays alive

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XRP price holds $1.35 as legal overhang fades

Highlights

XRP traded around $1.35 after falling roughly 4.75% in the past 24 hours.
The market is leaning on support in the mid $1.30 region while the $1.40 area remains close overhead.
The SEC case is no longer an active overhang after both sides dismissed their appeals in August 2025.

The short-term picture has tightened. XRP is no longer falling in a straight line, but it is not reclaiming control either, and that leaves the market stuck in the kind of range where every test of support starts to feel more important than the last. Around $1.35, buyers are still showing up. The problem is that rebounds have not been traveling very far.

The first zone that looks heavy sits between $1.40 and $1.43. That area has repeatedly capped upside this month, which means a push back through it would matter less as a headline move and more as a sign that short-term demand is finally absorbing supply. Until then, the structure looks more like containment than recovery.

If $1.35 starts giving way on a closing basis, the next pocket traders are likely to watch is around $1.31 and then near $1.30. That does not automatically imply a breakdown, but it would tell the market that March support has stopped doing its job and that price needs to search lower for firmer bids.

XRP price dynamics (February 2026-March 2026). Source: TradingView.

A market with fewer legal questions and more real capital

The biggest shift behind XRP is not from this week but from the last several months. The SEC and Ripple came to an end in their appeals in August 2025, leaving the district court judgment in place and closing one of the longest lawsuits in crypto history. That matters because XRP is now trading in a market that can spend more time on positioning and product demand, and less time considering courtroom risks.

That clearer background has helped support a growing exchange-trading-product ecosystem tied to XRP in the U.S. market. By March 2026, listed XRP-linked funds and related products were no longer theoretical filings sitting on desks; several were already trading or in registration, giving institutions more routes into the asset than direct spot exposure alone.

Still, this Thursday was more about macro pressure than token-specific optimism. Crypto prices broadly weakened as risk appetite slows. In that setting, even assets with improving fundamentals were forced to trade like risk assets first.

What could open the next move

A more optimistic scenario from here would be fairly simple: XRP holds above the mid $1.30 mark, broader crypto sentiment steadies and the market starts forcing repeated tests of $1.40 to $1.43 until that ceiling finally breaks. If that specific picture is seen, then the conversation would shift from defense to extension, and traders could start looking for whether sidelined money is willing to chase strength rather than just buy dips.

The less comfortable path is also easy to sketch. If geopolitical stress keeps oil high, yields firm and crypto beta under pressure, XRP could lose $1.35 and spend time probing lower support without any dramatic change in its long-term story. That would not undo the regulatory progress behind the asset, but it would remind traders that a cleaner backdrop does not guarantee immediate upside when macro conditions are leaning the other way.

XRP now sits in a different place from the one it occupied during most of the SEC era, with regulatory uncertainty materially reduced and institutional access widening. What the market is testing in late March is not whether the asset survives the old fight, but whether improved fundamentals are enough to carry price through a tougher macro tape.

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