XRP trades sideways with downside pressure confirmed by MACD and ADX indicators: weekly review

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XRP advances 2.56% over the week

Highlights

XRP remains under sustained bearish pressure, trading below all major weekly moving averages and showing weak technical structure.
Momentum oscillators and trend indicators reflect ongoing seller dominance and minimal bullish conviction, despite a modest short-term price rebound.
Price action is expected to remain range-bound between $1.04 and $1.17 over the next week, with downside scenarios more likely unless the $1.29 resistance is broken.

Regulatory wins and new partnerships drive bullish sentiment this week

XRP received joint classification as a digital commodity by the SEC and CFTC in March 2026, reinforcing its legal status in the US. Ripple secured full regulatory approval under Europe’s MiCA regime in Luxembourg, enabling broader access across the European Economic Area. Additional drivers include Mastercard naming Ripple as a settlement partner in its AI payments network and the XRP Ledger surpassing one million AI agent transactions. Ripple also expanded its presence in Japan through partnerships with SBI Digital Finance, Evernorth, and the creation of a large XRP reserve.

Sustained bearish momentum as indicators reinforce downside bias

Weekly technicals for XRP remain weak, with price action holding beneath the MA-20 ($1.2896), MA-50 ($1.8900), and MA-200 ($1.2127), highlighting persistent bearish momentum. Major support is visible near $1.04, while resistance aligns with the MA-20 at $1.29. Weekly RSI is oversold at 34.7, and both MACD and ADX confirm ongoing downside pressure, with CCI and Bull/Bear Power also evidencing seller control. Despite a minor rise, most indicators signal an overall downtrend and a lack of sustained buying interest.

Range-bound outlook as technicals cap breakout risks next week

Looking ahead to the next seven days, XRP is expected to trade in a sideways range between $1.04 and $1.17, consistent with recent weekly volatility of 6.41%. The likelihood of a significant upward move is low, as RSI, ADX, MACD, and CCI all remain bearish. Only a clear breakout above the MA-20 near $1.29 would support a bullish scenario, while renewed selling could trigger a move below support at $1.04. The base case forecast is for consolidation within the mentioned range as the market absorbs recent developments.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, notes that XRP showed a minor recovery this week but remains under medium- and long-term technical pressure. He highlights that the price is still well below all key weekly moving averages, and the main indicators continue to point to persistent bearish momentum. While recent regulatory milestones for Ripple in both the US and Europe support long-term legitimacy, in the near term, sellers control the market and significant bullish flows are lacking. Kharitonov sees support holding at $1.04 and resistance anchored at $1.29, with a clear breakout above the MA-20 required to improve sentiment. The base case is for XRP to consolidate within the $1.04 to $1.17 range over the coming week while the market digests both recent price action and news. "As long as weekly indicators stay bearish and the price trades beneath $1.29, I remain cautious and expect sideways or lower movement for now."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP’s positive momentum was offset by mixed technical signals and the need for sustained advances to validate further upside. The current backdrop of regulatory progress and ecosystem partnerships is now countered by persistent technical weakness, making a decisive move above $1.29 the key inflection point to monitor for any shift in market direction.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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