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Arthur Hayes urges everyone to buy Bitcoin
Arthur Hayes, the outspoken co-founder of BitMEX, is urging investors to prepare for a massive rally in risk assets—led by Bitcoin—as global markets enter what he believes could be a critical turning point.
In a post on X (formerly Twitter) on April 11, Hayes cited rising bond yields, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve intervention as signals for what he calls a pending “UP ONLY” phase for BTC, reports BeInCrypto.
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin Bull Call: Hayes forecasts a major BTC rally, driven by potential Fed liquidity action.
- 4.5% Yield Level: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield crossing 4.5% seen as a tipping point for market intervention.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: U.S.-China tariff tensions deepen inflation and contraction fears.
- “Buy Everything” Mentality: Hayes encourages investors to go risk-on before central banks flood markets with liquidity.
Rising Bond Yields and Tariff Tensions Spark Policy Speculation
In his market outlook, Hayes highlighted the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note crossing 4.5% as a historical trigger for Fed intervention. Drawing parallels to past crises, he suggested the current economic backdrop mirrors scenarios where central banks provided emergency liquidity to stabilize financial markets.
U.S. 10 Year Treasury chart. Source: CNBC
The latest bond market stress comes as Washington and Beijing ratchet up tariff battles. The Biden administration has imposed sweeping new import duties on Chinese goods, raising rates to 145%—a move met with tit-for-tat tariffs from China, reaching 125% on key U.S. exports. Though implementation is delayed by 90 days, the trade standoff has reignited investor fears of economic slowdown and inflationary pressure.
Federal Reserve Signals Readiness to Act
Backing Hayes’ claims, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins told the Financial Times that the central bank stands ready to intervene if liquidity becomes constrained. She noted that the Fed’s toolkit extends beyond interest rate cuts, which remain off the table for now, but did not rule out other forms of support to ensure market stability.
Hayes interpreted this as a clear sign that central banks could soon step in with accommodative measures—especially if volatility persists. “If this keeps up,” he warned, referring to mounting macro stress, “we will be getting more policy response this weekend.”
Investor Outlook: Crypto as a Safe Haven
With liquidity poised to return and the dollar under pressure from rising inflation fears, Hayes believes crypto—particularly Bitcoin—is poised for outperformance. “Buy everything,” he told his followers, encouraging investors to take advantage of what he views as a rare entry point across risk assets.
Recently we wrote, that Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano and one of Ethereum’s original architects, is bullish on Bitcoin reaching $250,000 within the next 12 to 20 months.
This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.
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