Tezos price prediction: $0.21067238–$0.24112762 range in focus as XTZ extends losses

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Tezos drops 8.17% to $0.2259 today

Highlights

XTZ/USD trades below major moving averages, reflecting sustained selling pressure across all observed timeframes.
Momentum indicators are predominantly bearish, with downside probabilities outweighing bullish reversal signals in the short term.
Price action projects a range between $0.21067238 and $0.24112762 over the next two to three sessions, with downward continuation favored unless immediate resistance breaks.

Seller momentum dominates as technical barriers cap intraday rebounds

On the H1 chart, XTZ/USD trades below its MA-20 ($0.23699000) and MA-50 ($0.24200200), with the MA-200 far overhead at $0.41996350. The Ichimoku Kijun acts as immediate resistance at $0.23625000. Among momentum indicators, MACD signals a Sell, ADX is Neutral, RSI prints 38.59, and CCI levels reinforce the downside bias; Stoch RSI is Neutral, while BBP signals some intraday buyer presence (Buy), contrasting with mostly bearish technicals, and AO remains Neutral, showing no confirmation for either direction. Overall, high intraday volatility and a gap lower at the open reflect dominant seller control despite brief buyer activity.

Downside risk persists as buyers struggle to retake resistance

In the short term, XTZ/USD is expected to fluctuate within a volatility band of $0.21067238 to $0.24112762 over the next two to three sessions. The probability of further downside remains elevated at 57%, with a 43% chance for a rebound. A sustained move above the immediate resistance near the Kijun level would be needed to trigger bullish momentum, while a breakdown below the support could open the door to deeper declines as sellers remain firmly in charge.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees Tezos (XTZ) firmly under technical pressure after its sharp drop below key moving averages. Most momentum indicators reinforce the bearish tone, with sellers dominating despite occasional intraday buying. The probability of further downside is higher unless immediate resistance is reclaimed. "Until XTZ gets back above the $0.23625000 Kijun level, I remain defensive and see little merit in chasing a reversal here."

Earlier, analysts noted that Tezos was experiencing persistent bearish momentum, with technical signals highlighting continued downside risks. This outlook is reinforced by the latest action, as dominant sellers and ongoing volatility suggest traders should closely monitor for a decisive shift at immediate resistance or any break below current support levels.

Source of Data: XTZ Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.