Aptos upside limited as MACD stays in Strong Sell mode: weekly analysis

Traders Union
All News
Crypto
Aptos gains 4.25% this week

Highlights

Aptos posted a 4.25% gain over the past week but remains below key long-term moving averages, indicating continued bearish market structure.
Momentum signals are mixed, with mild buying pressure countered by a strong sell indication from the MACD and a bearish tilt in the overall trend.
For the coming week, Aptos is likely to trade between $0.545 support and $0.591 resistance, with a 37% probability of further upside.

Record activity and privacy upgrades fuel enterprise optimism this week

Aptos introduced 'Confidential APT' on its mainnet, enabling users to encrypt transaction amounts while keeping wallet addresses visible, according to Cointrust and corroborated by multiple crypto news sources this week. This new feature is designed to strengthen enterprise adoption by balancing compliance with privacy on the network. July 2026 also brought record activity to APT, with over 389 million transactions pointing to ongoing infrastructure traction.

Mixed momentum and bear-leaning signals define weekly technical structure

On the daily setup, Aptos is holding at the $0.591 resistance area, which is reinforced by both the 20-day average and the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.592. Momentum is mixed: while Bull/Bear Power shows mild buying dominance, the MACD remains in a Strong Sell mode, and ADX also leans bearish despite the momentum character described as a sustained move higher with a firm trend. Volatility over the past week stands at 11.19%. Immediate support is set at $0.545, with resistance at $0.591.

Downside risk prevails as next week’s range narrows

Next week, the expected range is $0.5567 to $0.629, with a 37% probability of an increase and a 63% probability of a decrease. Base case is continued trading between $0.545 support and $0.591 resistance. A daily close above $0.591/$0.592 could open the way to challenge $0.629. Failing to hold $0.545 support would signal a move toward the lower end of the range.

Sholanke Dele, market strategist, sees Aptos showing modest resilience this week, but he believes prevailing bearish sentiment still dominates the outlook. News on 'Confidential APT' and strong transaction counts bring some positive momentum, yet price remains stuck near $0.59, unable to break the reinforced resistance. With momentum indicators still mixed and probabilities favoring downside, Dele remains skeptical about an immediate breakout. He maintains a cautious stance, watching the $0.545 support level closely. "Base case this week is consolidation — unless Aptos closes above $0.592, I remain defensive."

Earlier, analysts noted that Aptos had struggled with downside momentum and uncertainty around ecosystem support amid persistent bearish pressures. The latest technical setup, coupled with the rollout of privacy features and elevated transaction activity, adds a new dimension to the outlook, with $0.545 emerging as the key level to watch for downside risk in the coming week.

Source of Data: APT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.