Kaspa weekly forecast: Support at $0.0409 remains firm amid recent pullback

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Kaspa falls 9.91% over the week

Highlights

Kaspa fell 9.91% this week to $0.043 but remains above its long-term trend supports.
Technical trend is firmly downward near term, yet volatility and oversold stochastic indicate potential for a short-term rebound.
Support is seen at $0.0409 and resistance at $0.0472, with next week’s range expected between $0.0395 to $0.0464.

Transaction surge and real estate adoption drive renewed trader attention this week

Kaspa's network surpassed 2.3 billion cumulative transactions following the Crescendo and Toccata hard forks, according to Startup Fortune on October 3, 2026. The Crescendo upgrade boosted throughput to around 4,000 transactions per second, underpinning capacity growth as the ecosystem expands. Additionally, Bayit Development's acceptance of KAS for Miami luxury real estate and wallet infrastructure upgrades have driven renewed attention from traders and developers.

Downside momentum persists as oversold technicals raise rebound risk

The daily chart shows a sustained move lower with a firm trend, while the volatility this week reached 16.26%. Momentum is mixed: MACD and Bull/Bear Power both indicate strong buying conditions, yet Stochastic RSI is deep in the oversold zone at 5.5182, implying potential for a short-term bounce. Immediate support is at $0.0409, reinforced by both the MA-20 and Ichimoku Kijun, while resistance stands at $0.0472, just below last week’s high. This setup signals the downside may be limited despite the recent pullback.

Upside bias for next week as price eyes breakout above key resistance

Next week, price is expected to trade between $0.0395 and $0.0464. There is a very high probability of an increase and a very low probability of a decrease. The base case is for the pair to find support at $0.0409 and range toward resistance at $0.0472. A move above $0.0472 could open further upside, while a drop below $0.0409 would put $0.0395 into view.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, notes that Kaspa (KAS) stabilized near $0.043 after a 10% weekly drop, with buyers quickly stepping in to limit further downside. He highlights that positive sentiment remains strong thanks to major network upgrades, such as the Crescendo hard fork and integration into real-world payments, confirming Kaspa's growing utility and ecosystem expansion. Daily technicals show notable volatility at 16.26%, with mixed momentum — strong buying signals from MACD and Bull/Bear Power, while the Stochastic RSI sits deep in oversold territory, which points to a strong potential for a rebound in the coming days. Support at $0.0409 appears robust, and resistance at $0.0472 marks the area to watch for further upside. "The bullish structure remains intact, and I expect Kaspa to capitalize on its expanding use case, with near-term movement likely aiming for a breakout above $0.0472 this week."

Earlier, analysts noted that Kaspa faced persistent bearish momentum with sellers maintaining control amid heightened volatility. The current analysis introduces a shift in outlook, highlighting strong technical support at $0.0409 as a crucial level to watch for sustained price stability in the upcoming week.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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