Curve remains stuck below 20-day moving average amid persistent selling pressure: weekly analysis

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Curve DAO Token slips 3.34% this week

Highlights

Curve trades at $0.3615, falling 3.34% over seven days with price action below the 20-day average.
The asset remains in a downward trending phase with 22.13% weekly volatility and neutral momentum signals.
Key support is at $0.3585 and resistance at $0.3643, with a projected range of $0.3231 to $0.3998 next week.

Protocol activity surge meets volatility as market sell-offs dent sentiment

Over the past week, Curve saw a notable surge in protocol activity and lending, as active loans climbed to approximately $76.18 million and staking volumes remained strong above $300 million, according to AMBCrypto and KuCoin. Protocol revenue grew to around $158,000 per day, reflecting a robust uptick in on-chain usage. Analytics Insight and Blockchain.News noted that despite these positive fundamentals, CRV faced heightened volatility due to broad crypto market sell-offs, which could continue to impact sentiment in the week ahead.

Critical support tests emerge as momentum indicators point to possible shift

On the daily chart, Curve remains in a trending phase with a sustained move lower and a firm trend, as indicated by a 22.13% weekly volatility. MACD and Bull/Bear Power signal continued buying demand, while the RSI at 50.4948 sits in the neutral zone, suggesting that bearish momentum is not yet overwhelming. Immediate support is at $0.3585, guided by the Ichimoku Kijun, while resistance stands at the 20-day moving average of $0.3643. The balance of signals points to a market navigating critical support with potential for direction to shift if these levels are broken or reclaimed.

Directional breakout risk rises as range-bound trading seen for next week

Next week, Curve is expected to trade between $0.3231 and $0.3998, with a 60% probability of an increase and a 40% chance of a decrease. The base case is continued movement within this range, capped by resistance at $0.3643 and anchored by support at $0.3585. A move above $0.3643 would open a path toward the upper band of the expected range, while a drop below $0.3585 could see the price retest the lower end near $0.3231.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, notes that Curve DAO Token (CRV) stabilized near $0.36 this week, with resilient protocol activity and robust on-chain fundamentals standing out even as broad crypto market volatility persisted. He observes that strong demand for lending and staking, with active loans at $76.18 million and protocol revenue reaching $158,000 per day, signals growing investor engagement despite recent sell-offs. On the daily timeframe, clear support at $0.3585 and resistance at the 20-day moving average of $0.3643 offer traders critical reference points. Karapetjanc believes the balance of technicals and healthy usage metrics shifts odds toward a recovery in the coming days. “If CRV holds above $0.3585 this week, I see a strong chance for further growth toward the upper end of the $0.3231–$0.3998 range,” he says.

Earlier, analysts noted that Curve faced persistent selling pressure while maintaining long-term support through continued user engagement. The current analysis adds that sustained activity and mixed technical signals have kept Curve in a consolidation phase, with traders advised to watch for a decisive move above $0.3643 or below $0.3585 to confirm the next directional trend.

Source of Data: CRV Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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