Weiss Ratings sees Bitcoin buy window shifting to 2027 as correction extends
A longer-than-expected Bitcoin pullback is reshaping market expectations for the rest of 2026 and pushing the preferred entry point into early 2027. The revised view keeps a near-term rebound in play, but suggests the next rally may top out below earlier targets as the downturn appears tied to a broader 320-day cycle.
Highlights
- Juan M. Villaverde of Weiss Ratings now projects Bitcoin's next major buying opportunity to shift to late January 2027 due to an extended 320-day cycle correction.
- Bitcoin's 20% decline from its Sept. 21 high near $87,000 has lasted about 52 days—longer than the typical 30–45 days for an 80-day cycle downturn.
- Villaverde expects a near-term low for Bitcoin around November, but now forecasts any rebound will cap below $90,000, likely peaking near $85,000 before year-end.
Cycle outlook points to later entry
As reported by Weiss Ratings, analyst Juan M. Villaverde says Bitcoin's correction now looks more consistent with a 320-day cycle downturn than a shorter 80-day pullback, changing the expected scale of the next advance while leaving the timing window for a near-term low broadly intact.Villaverde writes that he still expects a market low around the first half of November, but no longer sees the move as a routine medium-term reset. In his view, Bitcoin's Sept. 21 high near $87,000 may have marked a 320-day cycle top, which would imply a more limited rebound into the end of 2026 and a more attractive buying opportunity later, likely in late January 2027.
He says the duration of the decline, rather than the price drop itself, drives the change in outlook. Bitcoin is down about 20% from the Sept. 21 high, a move he describes as relatively modest for crypto, but the correction has lasted about 52 days, longer than the typical 30 to 45 days he associates with an 80-day cycle correction.
Cross-asset signals shape market view
Villaverde bases part of his conviction on what he describes as a coordinated risk-off move across several asset classes. He says stocks, gold, silver and oil have sold off together with crypto, while his forecasting model points to lows for those markets in overlapping windows through mid-November.Among the signals he cites are a Nov. 11 cycle low indication for the S&P 500, a significant low call for the Nasdaq Semiconductor Index, a silver cycle window centered around Nov. 4 and a gold forecast low that fell within an Oct. 6 to Nov. 15 range, with gold making a low on Oct. 30. He argues that the overlap matters because these assets do not usually move in lockstep, increasing the significance of a shared turning window.
For investors, the implication is that Bitcoin could still stage one more rally before the year ends, but with a lower ceiling than previously expected. Villaverde says he no longer expects Bitcoin to reach $90,000 before the New Year and now sees a rebound more likely toward $85,000, with a possible retest of the Sept. 21 high near $87,000.
Earlier, we reported on the Weiss Crypto Portfolio, which Weiss Ratings markets as a selection-and-timing strategy for Bitcoin and altcoin investors.