Gram edges higher following Pavel Durov news — technicals still weak

Gram edges higher following Pavel Durov news — technicals still weak
Gram Gains 3.39% Today

Gram (GRAM, formerly Toncoin) is currently trading at $1.067, marking a gain of $0.035 or 3.39% from the previous close of $1.032. Since today’s open at $1.042, the asset has climbed $0.025 or 2.4% intraday, reaching the upper end of its session range amidst moderate volatility. The advance is mainly attributed to buyers pushing prices upward from the open, though overall momentum remains negative and technical resistance dominates; recent developments regarding the Telegram wallet and ongoing market activity, along with Pavel Durov’s buoyant tweet about upcoming TON launches, have also contributed to sentiment.

TON price prediction
24H -1.64%
$1.0505
48H 4.12%
$1.112
7D -0.7%
$1.0605
1M -33.75%
$0.7075
3M -40.67%
$0.6336
6M -50.95%
$0.5239
12M 63.35%
$1.7446
Current price: $1.068 0.04 3.89%
Real-time Data 23:18
Daily range 1.016 Arrow from to Icon 1.073
Weekly range 0.9920 Arrow from to Icon 1.2900
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Highlights

  • GRAM trades below key moving averages, confirming short-, medium-, and long-term seller control across timeframes.
  • Momentum indicators register strong selling pressure and oversold conditions, with intraday buying unable to reverse the broader weak trend.
  • The price is forecast to move between $0.96 to $1.13 over the next five sessions, with a less than 20% chance of price recovery unless $1.18 resistance is broken.

Durov’s launch hints lift sentiment as technical selling prevails

Pavel Durov hinted at preparations for November launches on TON with a lighthearted remark about crypto winter, signaling ongoing development and forward momentum for the ecosystem. Such statements from key figures often bolster market sentiment by reinforcing expectations of continued adoption and fresh product releases. However, despite this positive tone, the market is giving greater weight to persistent technical selling pressure and the impact from recent Telegram wallet activity. Coinbase's introduction of perpetual markets for Gram was noted, but has not overridden the cautious backdrop.

Downtrend confirmed as Gram struggles below moving averages and resistance

GRAM is trading below its MA-20 at $1.1463, MA-50 at $1.3151, and MA-200 at $1.5275, reflecting sustained weakness across all timeframes. Immediate resistance is at $1.18, which coincides with the Ichimoku Kijun, and support sits near $0.96. The MACD shows a strong sell, and RSI at 36.90 confirms persistent seller dominance; the forecasted 5-day range is $0.96 – $1.13 with a low probability of a price increase. The lack of confirmation from price action in response to Durov’s tweet adds caution to the near-term forecast.

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, views Pavel Durov’s upbeat comments as supportive for sentiment but cautions that they haven’t shifted the underlying dynamics. Turakhiya believes the market is currently wary, as seen in persistent selling and weak technical structure, supporting a balanced but critical outlook. “Despite bullish headlines from Durov, I think GRAM buyers should remain cautious — sentiment will only hold if price action confirms,” he states.

Previously it was reported that Gram faced persistent technical weakness and selling pressure, even as new derivative products entered the market. This article adds a new dimension by assessing current price action and volatility, highlighting a key level traders should monitor for signs of either further downside or a potential reversal.

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