Ondo price prediction: Fresh lows ahead? ONDO faces strong sellers near $0.69

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Ondo Finance drops 10.20% today

Highlights

ONDO trades at $0.6868, roughly 10.20% down on the day and firmly below key MAs ($0.8553, $0.9223, $0.9043), confirming sustained bearish momentum.
Ondo Finance completed its acquisition of Oasis Pro, expanding U.S. regulatory capabilities for tokenized securities and overseeing $1.76 billion in tokenized assets.
Short-term outlook favors continued downside, with a projected five-day range of $0.6375 to $0.7627 and less than 20% probability for price recovery.

Bearish pressure intensifies as sentiment and flows turn negative

Ondo Finance has completed its acquisition of Oasis Pro, significantly expanding its U.S. regulatory infrastructure for tokenized securities and boosting its ability to deliver compliant, institutionally-friendly products in the RWA sector. The company now manages over $1.76 billion in tokenized assets, underlining its leadership in real-world asset tokenization. Sector developments and on-chain adoption trends provide secondary market context.

Aggressive selling clashes with oversold signals amid high volatility

Momentum indicators show conflicted signals: MACD points to ongoing bearishness while ADX, at elevated levels, suggests a strong trend is in play. RSI and CCI both indicate the asset is nearing oversold territory, while Stoch RSI is neutral but signals oversold conditions on higher timeframes. BBP points to sellers dominating intraday momentum, which is consistent with the day’s sharp move down. The current price is lower than both the previous close and today’s open, confirming about a 10.20% decline after a minor gap down at the open. ONDO is currently near the lower end of today’s range of $0.665 to $0.7304, reflecting high volatility and persistent downside pressure throughout the session. The divergence between strong trend momentum and deepening oversold oscillators highlights a battle between aggressive sellers and early attempts at bottom-fishing.

Downside favored as low upside odds meet persistent seller dominance

In the short term, the expected price range for the next five trading days is $0.6375 to $0.7627. There is a very low probability (less than 20%) of a price increase, meaning a decrease is much more likely. The baseline scenario envisions ONDO moving sideways within this corridor as oversold pressures balance strong seller momentum. A bullish scenario would see a breakthrough above $0.7627, but such a move lacks enough indicator support and appears unlikely given current trends. In the bearish case, a decisive break below $0.6375 would confirm continued selling, potentially targeting new short-term lows.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, leading analyst at Traders Union, sees ONDO’s recent acquisition of Oasis Pro as a major boost to its regulatory standing and institutional appeal, reinforcing its fundamental strength in the growing RWA sector. Despite current technical weakness and persistent downside momentum, he maintains a constructive outlook given the company’s $1.76 billion in managed tokenized assets and ongoing expansion in regulatory infrastructure. Karapetjanc believes that if ONDO can stabilize above the lower range near $0.6375, the combination of oversold signals and strong fundamentals could soon draw in new buyers. "While short-term pressure remains, I remain optimistic that ONDO’s rapid institutional growth will underpin a sustained recovery once this selling phase exhausts itself."

Previously it was noted that Ondo's leadership in the tokenized real-world assets niche was supporting strong fundamentals, despite ongoing market volatility from recent liquidations. In the last update, technical analysis revealed mixed momentum signals, including dynamic support emerging at the Ichimoku Kijun level, as detailed in mixed momentum signals as resistance pressures emerge.

Source of Data: ONDO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.