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Morgan Stanley is monitoring risks from developments in the Middle East and their potential effect on energy prices.
The bank is paying close attention to how rising energy costs could pressure consumer spending. Morgan Stanley is also watching potential impacts on domestic industries such as transportation and logistics.
MS is trading at $207.81, above the SMA-20 ($202.92), SMA-50 ($191.07), and SMA-200 ($173.16), confirming bullish structure in the short, medium, and long term. The Ichimoku Kijun at $202.81 sits below the current price, serving as immediate support.
Momentum on D1 is moderately bullish as MACD and ADX both indicate buying pressure. RSI and CCI are not overbought, while Stoch RSI flags oversold conditions, introducing mixed signals. BBP suggests sellers have a notable short-term advantage. Over the past week, MS has declined $4.12 (1.94%) from a previous close of $211.93, positioning the price at the very bottom of its weekly range. Weekly volatility stands at 6.3%, and the tone is a steady decline from recent highs. In today's session, the stock fell 1.16%, highlighting acute near-term weakness.
For the upcoming week, the expected price range is $206 to $212, keeping MS within 3% of current levels and well above its 52-week low ($128.81) though slightly off its annual high ($219.16). Bullish signals on MA-50 (W1), RSI (W1), ADX (W1), and MACD (W1) convey a very high probability (more than 80%) of a potential upward move, making further declines less likely. Baseline scenario: MS consolidates between $206 and $212. Bullish case: a break above $209.87 could target $212 and potentially spur further upside. Bearish case: sustained movement below $206 would expose the next downside to $202, anchored by the Ichimoku Kijun and SMA-20.
Earlier, analysts noted that Morgan Stanley maintained a bullish trend supported by strong momentum, though they cautioned that heightened volatility could temper near-term gains. The latest developments now warrant close attention to whether the prevailing bullish scenario will persist or give way to renewed downside risk around key technical thresholds.