+3.3% for MSTR stock as BTC Monetization Program authorizes $1.25B sales

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Strategy jumps 3.3% to $104.1 today

Highlights

Strategy's recent sale of 3,588 Bitcoin for $216 million increases liquidity to support preferred dividend payments and manage capital commitments.
The company initiated a $1.25 billion BTC Monetization Program, raised its annual preferred dividend yield to 12%, and is prioritizing par value restoration.
Technically, the stock sits above short-term moving averages with bullish momentum, as buyers dominate; expected price range is $94.91 to $113.29, favoring further upside.

Bitcoin sale and dividend boost as capital flexibility prioritized

Strategy's recent sale of 3,588 Bitcoin between June 29 and July 5, 2026 for approximately $216 million, as reported by Quiverquant, has provided substantial liquidity to fund dividend payments on its preferred securities. This move allows the company to manage its capital commitments and maintain flexibility while reducing immediate pressure to sell additional digital assets. In parallel, Strategy introduced a $1.25 billion BTC Monetization Program, with most of this authorization still unused according to Investing.com, while raising the annual dividend yield on its STRC preferred securities to 12% and prioritizing restoration of their par value, a step highlighted by Marketbeat as important for future capital cycles.

Positive momentum persists as immediate supports hold above trend

MSTR/USD is trading above the MA-20 at $97.57 and MA-50 at $91.86, while remaining well below the MA-200 at $181.26. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $93.76 currently acts as immediate support. On the hourly chart, momentum is positive: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Average Directional Index (ADX) both generate buy signals, Commodity Channel Index (CCI) gives a buy reading, and the price is in overbought territory per Bull/Bear Power (BBP). Stochastic RSI is neutral, while Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 62.85, confirming continued upward momentum. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral, with some divergence as not all oscillators align in a bullish direction.

Range consolidation favored as upside breakout probability rises

In the short term, MSTR/USD is expected to remain within a volatility band between $94.91 and $113.29. The probability of an upside breakout is estimated at 75%, while the risk of a downside move is 25%. The baseline scenario favors price consolidation within this range. A continuation higher would require a decisive move above resistance, while a drop below the $93.76 support level would open the door to further downside.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Strategy’s recent Bitcoin sale and capital actions as signaling deliberate liquidity management. He believes the company’s sizeable reserves and dividend focus reflect strong discipline underpinned by a constructive macro backdrop. Short-term technical momentum supports this positive sentiment, although price remains structurally below long-term trend levels. “I expect continued resilience for MSTR/USD, with momentum and capital actions both favoring further upside if key supports hold.”

Earlier, analysts noted that selling pressure from Strategy's Bitcoin liquidation and prolonged ETF outflows had weighed on sentiment for both the company and the broader market. With Strategy now actively managing its capital structure and maintaining a strong liquidity position, traders should watch for a sustained move above $113.29 to signal a potential shift in momentum beyond the current consolidation range.

Source of Data: MSTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.