Why are Barclays shares down 3.1% today?

Traders Union
All News
Financial News
Barclays slides 3.16% today

Highlights

Barclays delivered a 13.6% CET1 ratio and £8.1 billion in pre-tax profit for 2025, underscoring robust capital and earnings.
Investment and consumer banking generated £26.8 billion in income, supporting £1.0 billion buybacks and an £0.083 per share dividend.
Shares face near-term selling but retain a bullish medium-term structure, with 80% probability of consolidation or recovery within GBX495.35–GBX521.05.

Strong capital metrics met by sustained selling across divisions

Barclays reported a CET1 ratio of 13.6%, a return on tangible equity of 11.1%, and a profit before tax of GBP 8.1 billion for the 2025 full year. The company paid a full-year dividend of GBP 0.083 per share and executed GBP 1.0 billion in share buybacks during the second half of the year. Barclays' investment and consumer banking divisions contributed to income of GBP 26.8 billion and attributable profit of GBP 5.3 billion, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees renewed selling pressure in Barclays despite solid financial results and strong capital ratios. He notes that the price drop of 3.16% contradicts the bank’s positive technical indicators and ongoing buybacks. The analyst is wary of short-term overbought signals and sees the rally at risk unless support at GBX502.5 holds. Fundamentals appear decent, but sentiment remains fragile amid external market forces. "Investors should remain cautious, as Barclays' technical resilience could break if selling intensifies and recent gains prove unsustainable."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, focuses on Barclays’ robust headline results and forward-looking momentum. He highlights the CET1 ratio of 13.6% and strong operational profits, which reinforce market confidence. The analyst points out that recent buybacks and dividends mark a shareholder-friendly stance and support a constructive outlook. He believes the medium- and long-term bullish structure remains intact above major moving averages. "Further growth is likely, and investors should view the current consolidation as an opportunity for positioning before the next upward move."

Mixed momentum as short-term losses contrast with broader support

Barclays is currently trading below its 20-day moving average at GBX513.76 but stays above the 50-day at GBX476.36 and 200-day at GBX443.22. This indicates persistent short-term selling, yet a supportive medium- and long-term posture. The near-term resistance is at GBX509.4 and support at GBX502.5, with the Ichimoku Kijun at GBX487.85 serving as a lower trend benchmark. Momentum is mixed: the MACD and ADX confirm positive trend strength, and the RSI is supportive of buyers, while the CCI and Bull/Bear Power point to overbought conditions, hinting at buyer dominance but also the risk of a near-term pullback.

Earlier, analysts noted that UK banks—including Barclays—were facing growing pressure from tighter Bank of England reserve levels and an increased reliance on central bank repo funding, which raised concerns about liquidity management and regulatory leverage ratios. While Barclays' robust recent results and technical resilience offer support, traders should monitor for shifts in short-term liquidity or regulatory stance that could introduce renewed volatility and quickly alter the prevailing consolidation scenario.

Source of Data: BARC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.