Paul Johnson: Working age welfare spending stable as share of national income

Paul Johnson: Working age welfare spending stable as share of national income
Welfare spending unchanged over decades

Paul Johnson states that spending on working age welfare has remained mostly unchanged as a proportion of national income for decades.

He acknowledges that while some incapacity and disability benefits have seen increased spending, other benefits are being reduced. According to Johnson, these shifts are not the main drivers of higher overall spending and taxes.

Johnson previously argued that stagnant growth is to blame for the recent cost of living crisis in the UK, warning that subsidising prices to address supply shocks is unsustainable. He has also commented on the economic impact of political developments, noting that current political uncertainty is contributing to higher borrowing costs. These comments reflect Johnson's focus on structural economic challenges beyond welfare spending.

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