Public finance, economic policy, and fiscal analysis by Paul Johnson

  • Mikhail Vnuchkov
  • 2 hours ago
Paul Johnson: BBC miscalculated rise in welfare spending due to tax credits exclusion
Paul Johnson questions the accuracy of a recent BBC report on working age welfare spending, stating that the broadcaster incorrectly claimed spending had increased significantly. He explains ...
  • Elena Nikulina
  • 13.06.2026
Abolishing stamp duty would support growth, Paul Johnson argues
Paul Johnson criticizes stamp duty, describing it as harmful and increasingly recognized for its negative impact. He argues that any government focused on economic growth and public welfare ...
  • Olga Shendetskaya
  • 27.05.2026
Paul Johnson: Working age welfare spending stable as share of national income
Paul Johnson states that spending on working age welfare has remained mostly unchanged as a proportion of national income for decades. He acknowledges that while some incapacity and disability ...
  • Hlib Chabaniuk
  • 26.05.2026
Cost of living crisis linked to stagnant growth, Paul Johnson warns
Paul Johnson argues that continual government subsidies to counteract supply shocks are unsustainable and could lead to economic decline. He links the public's sense of a cost of living crisis to ...
  • Andrey Mastykin
  • 14.05.2026
Paul Johnson: Minimum wage represents higher share of median earnings in Doncaster
Paul Johnson observes significant differences in how the minimum wage compares to median earnings across local labour markets in the U.K. He notes that in cities like Oxford and Reading, only 1 ...
  • Mikhail Vnuchkov
  • 12.05.2026
Higher borrowing costs are the only reset amid uncertainty, Paul Johnson notes
Paul Johnson expresses concern about the economic impact of ongoing political uncertainty. Johnson argues that the main effect of the situation has been increased borrowing costs, leaving people ...
  • Igor Krasulya
  • 26.04.2026
Graham Harrison: Addressing economic stagnation is key to tackling inequality
Graham Harrison, industry influencer, asserts that issues such as wealth inequality, inequality of opportunity, and regional disparities cannot be effectively resolved without first addressing the ...
  • Dmytro Kharkov
  • 02.04.2026
Rising state pension age stabilises retirement length, Paul Johnson notes
Paul Johnson highlights how increasing the state pension age for men has led to a more stable expected period of pension receipt. According to Johnson, this change followed several decades ...
  • Ashutosh Sureka
  • 03.03.2026
Paul Johnson: GDP growth forecast cut to 1.1 percent
GDP growth is now forecast at just 1.1 percent this year, reflecting a subdued economic outlook. Paul Johnson noted that while projections show higher growth in later years, current levels ...