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George Noble raises concerns about how Wall Street is evaluating hyperscaler revenue. He points out that analysts are overly focused on metrics such as forward revenue and record remaining performance obligations (RPOs) while overlooking essential credit mechanics that could signal underlying risks.
Noble suggests that ignoring these credit factors may contribute to inflated market valuations and could be a sign of how bubbles form and eventually burst.
Noble has previously drawn attention to the decline in S&P 500 share purchasing power for workers compared to 1971, noting the effects of rising equity prices relative to wages in a recent analysis. He also highlighted the diminished outperformance of the so-called Mag 7 stocks last year. These observations come as he continues to question commonly used valuation metrics on Wall Street.