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Michael A. Gayed highlights the lasting impact of three decades of near-zero interest rates in Japan.
He describes how investors borrowed cheaply in Tokyo to buy assets such as the S&P, drawing an analogy to hamsters endlessly spinning on a wheel, suggesting repeated cycles of global carry trades sparked by Japan's monetary policy.
Gayed previously noted that a yen short squeeze could force carry trades to unwind, positioning U.S. Treasuries as a leading safe-haven asset, according to a recent analysis. He has also argued that figures such as Jeremy Grantham and Michael Burry have achieved greater financial and personal success than their critics, as stated in a separate commentary. Both observations highlight his recent focus on market reactions to monetary shifts.